Market Timing

The World's Worst Market-Timer

Whatever you do, make sure you keep in mind that the world’s worst market timer (the government) just cried “Uncle.” The proper trade is to assume they will make a mess. A big one.

Shiller's CAPE – Is There A Better Measure?

Currently, valuation measures are clearly warning the future market returns are going to be substantially lower than they have been over the past eight years. Therefore, if you are expecting the markets to crank out 10% annualized returns over the next 10 years for you to meet your retirement goals, it is likely that you are going to be very disappointed.

"It's Quiet, Too Quiet"

The bulls and the bears have met at the crossroad. However, neither is ready to commit capital towards their inherent convictions. So, for 43-days, and counting, we remain range bound waiting for what is going to happen next... Every bull market in history has ultimately crumbled under the weight of fundamental realities. Despite the many hopes to the contrary, this time will be no different."