Medicare

Wall Street Scrambles To Change The Trump Narrative Again

Until yesterday, the prevailing Wall Street consensus was that in the absence of specifics from President Trump on his economic and fiscal plans, the market would be disappointed, and proceed to slide. It did not, in fact quite the opposite.  As a result, the world's best paid strategist have once again revised the Trump-related narrative.

How We Got Here In One Sentence

In every annual budget debate since the 1980s, one side figures out that the way to get what it wants – which is higher spending – is to frame the request in a particular, ingenious way: We have to borrow and spend way more now if we want to borrow and spend way less later.

Evercore ISI: "Trump Budget Not Happening"

In a note by Evercore ISI's Terry Haines and Ernie Tedeschi, the analyst duo pours cold water on Trumps' budget proposal before it has been even formalized and confidently predicts that "Trump budget not happening" adding that the most likely outcome is that "Congress will modestly hike defense and nondefense spending."

America Has A Hole In Its Head

We need a new civil war like we need a hole in the head. But that’s just it: America has a hole in its head. It’s the place formerly known as The Center. It didn’t hold.

Frontrunning: February 27

  • Epic Oscars Mistake: Faye Dunaway, Warren Beatty Announce Wrong Best Picture Winner (Variety)
  • Oscar host Jimmy Kimmel turns Trump into recurrent punch line (Reuters)
  • After Mix-Up, Hollywood Searches for an Explanation (WSJ)
  • Trillions at Risk When Trump Speaks to Congress (BBG)
  • Bond Market Is Flashing Warning Signal on Trump Reflation Trade (WSJ)
  • Mexico Warns U.S. It'll Cut Off Nafta Talks If Tariffs Proposed (BBG)

Trump Seeks Sharp Increases In Military Spending, "Drastic Cuts" To State Department, EPA

As part of his proposed budget, President Trump will instruct federal agencies on Monday to assemble a spending plan for the coming fiscal year that includes sharp increases in Defense Department spending and "drastic cuts" to domestic agencies such as the State Department, the EPA and other non-defense programs, so that he can keep his promise to leave Social Security and Medicare alone.

Global Stocks Drop, Futures Flat; French Yields Slide As Political Jitters Subside

In a quiet night for markets, in which the top highlight was the Oscar's historic peddling of best picture "fake news" and where "millions" of Academy members seemingly voted illegally, European stocks were little changed after a selloff that pushed them to a two-week low, while the MSCI Asia index fells as Japan’s Topix dropped for third day. S&P futures were unchanged.

Mnuchin Manages Expectations On Tax Reform; Warns Trump "Not Touching" Entitlements

'Good cop' Mnuchin appeared to play expectations-manager this morning in an interview with FOX's Maria Bartiromo. After confirming the Trump administration is "not touching" entitlement programs, and having said this week that tax reform is expected by August, he appeared to walk back that hype by saying that President Trump "will be touching on tax reform" during his speech to Congress this week.

Over-Regulation Has Criminalized The Practice Of Medicine

This criminalization of everyday life is not just insanely costly and insanely counter-productive--it's insanely punitive. It is the output of a sick society, a sick culture and a sickness-unto-death system of governance.

Dow Dragged Lower By UnitedHealth After Government Sues Largest US Health Insurer

The Dow Jones "Industrial" Average is suffering one of its worst intraday declines in weeks as a result of a 3.6% drop in UnitedHealth shares, which are sinking on news that the DOJ joined a whistleblower lawsuit against the insurer filed by a former executive claiming the country's largest health insurer overcharged Medicare hundreds of millions of dollars.

Frontrunning: February 17

  • ‘In Trump We Trust’ Is Market Mantra as Turmoil Besets White House (BBG)
  • World stocks lose momentum after record-breaking week (Reuters)
  • As Tax Debate Heats Up, Lawmakers Struggle to Think of a Plan B (WSJ)
  • Mnuchin Warned as G-20 Sees New Economic Order (BBG)
  • Deutsche Bank examined Donald Trump's account for Russia links (Guardian)
  • Stop hurling insults and listen, Pope Francis tells politicians (Reuters)