Meltdown

The Keynesian Cult Has Failed: "Emergency" Stimulus Is Now Permanent

What do we call a status quo in which "emergency measures" have become permanent props? A failure. The "emergency" responses to the Global Financial Meltdown of 2008-09 are, eight years on, permanent fixtures. Everyone knows what would happen if the deficit spending, money-printing, zero interest rates, shadow banking, asset purchases by central banks and all the rest of the Keynesian Cult's program stopped: the status quo falls apart.

RBC: Welcome To "The Insanity Loop"

"It's a classic 'pennies in front of a stream-roller' / 'negative skew' return profile - a Taleb distribution...The problem is….IT KEEPS WORKING, because market expectations for rates / curves / inflation expectations remain D.O.A., which perversely keeps the major global central banks 'reflexively easy'..."

The Real 'Monster' Eating The Nation

"The colossal security apparatus of this country has become a monster eating America... the Deep State’s main motive is moving heaven and earth to dump Trump... But when they do, of course, they are libel to foment an insurrection every bit as ugly as the dust-up that followed the shelling of Fort Sumter."

WSJ Urges Trump To Keep His Mouth Shut

"Millions of Americans recognized Mr. Trump’s flaws but decided he was a risk worth taking. They assumed, or at least hoped, that he’d rise to the occasion and the demands of the job. If he cannot, he’ll betray their hopes as his Presidency sinks before his eyes."

RBC: "Energy, Stat Arb And Value Teams Are Getting Blown Out"

"There is now enough of a fact-pattern established here to connect the major strains in ‘value market neutral’ strategies, mean-reversion stat-arb strategies and energy sector market neutral book ‘blow-ups,’ with speculation of multiple teams shut around the Street since April" - RBC

Frontrunning: May 17

  • Here's What the Latest Trump-Comey News Is Doing to Markets (BBG)
  • Dollar Slide Worsens With U.S. Stocks Near Records: Markets Wrap (BBG)
  • Turmoil Puts GOP Agenda at Risk (WSJ)
  • Trump Faces Deepest Crisis of His Presidency (BBG)
  • Trump’s $1 Trillion Plan Helps Wall Street More Than Rural America, Democrats Warn (BBG)