Monetary Policy

Trump Met With Janet Yellen; Meeting Lasted 30 Minutes

The anticipated meeting between president Trump and Janet Yellen has concluded, and according to Fox News, it lasted no more than 30 minutes, running from 2:00PM to 2;30PM, or barely enough for Trump to stop patting himself on the back about the yuuge Dow Jones rally under his presidency (it was a little over a year ago that Trump was bashing Yellen for creating a stock bubble).

Krugman And The "Heroic" Fed

"Far from being the incorruptible general whose troops must clean up the wreckage left by the hurricane of free-market economics, the Fed usually is ground zero (or at least nearby) when it comes to economic crises."

Frontrunning: October 19

  • Rajoy Deploys Ultimate Weapon of Law on Catalonia (BBG)
  • Congress Rolls Toward Shutdown Fight Over Immigration, Obamacare (BBG)
  • Hong Kong Stocks Tumble Most This Year as Geely, Developers Sink (BBG)
  • Inside battle imperils $230 million cryptocurrency deal (Reuters)
  • From Damascus, Iran vows to confront Israel (Reuters)

Global Markets Shaken By Sudden Equity Sell-Off: Hong Kong Crashes, VIX Surges

Global markets have been shaken by a sudden wave of overnight equity selling as worst case scenario for Spain finally materialized, while a slide in Apple stock has spiked the VIX, which coupled with a plunge in the Hang Seng and several other notable macro events may have finally woken up from their comatose state.

The Dollar Funding Shortage: It Never Went Away And It's Starting To Get Worse Again

Negative cross currency basis swaps indicate that the structural tightness in dollar liquidity never disappeared despite the weaker dollar. If dollar funding markets get a lot tighter again, this won’t be good news for EM markets with offshore (Euro) dollar debt in the region of $10 trillion. Rolling over dollar debt periodically will be uncomfortable, to say the least, for some of the region’s banks.