Monetary Policy

Pound Surges As BOE Chief Economist "Leans Toward" Hiking Rates In 2017

One week after the pound surged following the BOE's unexpectedly hawkish 5-3 vote split, then tumbled after Mark Carney's speech yesterday which suggested no rate hike is coming any time soon, today, for the third time in almost as many days, all GBPUSD stops were taken out after BoE Chief Economist, Andy Haldane, surprised the market with unexpectedly hawkish comments.

Futures, European Stocks Flat As Oil Suddenly Tumbles; Pound Slides

European stocks were flat after starting off strongly earlier, dragged lower by energy stocks. Asian stocks, U.S. futures little changed as oil tumbled with Brent tumbling as low as $45.85/bbl to the lowest intraday since November 30 and taking out a 38.2% Fib support, after a one-minute spike in volume to a day-high 5,208 lots just after 6am, with WTI mirroring Brent's momentum, and falling as much as 98c to $43.22, lowest since November 14.

Amid Dreary Landscape, Event Funds Stage A Comeback

Hedge funds endured nearly $100 billion in redemptions last year, but as confidence in traditional stock pickers dwindles, so-called “event-driven” funds are attracting renewed interest in investors, particularly in Europe, where near-zero rates and relatively attractive valuations are expected to stoke a boom in M&A activity.

Goldman Warns Of Rising "Potential For Rate Shocks"

"While we can envisage more anchored rate volatility in the very near term until the next round of central bank meetings comes into focus (and given current low vol across assets), we think the potential for rate shocks has increased over longer-term horizons as more pressure builds for rates to rise."

Mark Hanson: Housing Bubble 2.0 - The End Is Nigh?

"If, the past 8-years of a Fed in Armageddon-mode created the 'everything bubble', what will shifting monetary policy into reverse do to said asset price levels? ..Remember, a 'house-price recovery' and 'housing market recovery' are two vastly different things."

Key Events In The Coming Quiet Week: Brexit, Housing And Lots Of Fed Speakers

In an otherwise relatively quiet week in which the only upcoming US data is housing, current account and jobless claims, UK politics will again draw attention, one year (on Friday) after the Brexit referendum and as noted earlier, Brexit negotiations begin on Monday, despite lingering political uncertainty in the UK. Also no less than 9 FOMC members are scheduled to speak this week.

Global Stocks Jump, Dow Futs At New All Time Highs As Brexit Talks Begin

S&P futures rose 0.3% in subdued trading with Dow Jones futs once again in record territory as European stocks jump 0.6% following Sunday's landslide victory for Macron's party in the French parliamentary elections and as Brexit negotiations are set to officially roll out on Monday.

Welcome To The Valium Era

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