Monetary Policy

Tyler Durden's picture

The Test Of Central Bank Omnipotence May Be Upon Us





Over the last few months the financial media has not only turned deaf ears to the drama, (out of boredom) they have also blindly discounted any contagion effects as “isolated” at best – relative periphery contagion at worst. In other words: Any and all problems can be contained, mitigated, or solved by none other than your friendly neighborhood Central Bank. After all, if you listen to the so-called “smart crowd” these bankers have powers even Zeus would envy. So why worry about a little turmoil at the foot of Olympus? In any hero-worship endeavor one thing must remain constant or it all falls apart. Those that worship can never witness any event regardless of how minor: that the gods are not all that they portend to be. In other words: Allow just one moment of truth to be witnessed showing frailty instead of omnipotence – and the whole ruse falls regardless of the size and strength of the monuments and temples built to honor. For they will be abandoned: sometimes slowly, at others - all at once.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Draghi Freezes Greek ELA, Varoufakis Tells BBC "Looking At Imposing Capital Controls, Closing Banks"





A little under 24 hours before Europe opens for trading, and just under 12 hours before the open of equity futures, and things are not looking good.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

A Desperate China Cuts Key Policy Rates After Stock Market Crash; "It's Just Like 1987"





For the first time since October, 2008, China cuts both the benchmark lending rate and RRR on the same day, in a frantic attempt to sustain the country's equity bubble after stocks collapsed to the edge of bear market territory on Friday.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Critical" Debt "Domino Chain" Threatens To Destabilize China's Financial System, SocGen Says





"As this critical domino chain of local governments in China’s credit risk situation begins to wobble, there could be significant ramifications for broad financial market stability. Such a chain reaction seems to have begun."

 
Reggie Middleton's picture

As I Promised, the Nordic States' Central Bank QE Program Slides Backwards and Starts To Collapse





If you jump off of a make believe cliff, don't be surprised when you hit the reality of the ground! Reggie Middleton

 
Tyler Durden's picture

These Three Events Will Shatter "Liquidity Illusion", Trigger Crisis, OECD Says





“Any of these events would likely trigger asset price volatility [and] attempts by institutional investors to redeem illiquid corporate bonds in crisis circumstances would amplify volatility.”

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Ron Paul Warns Seizure Of Russian Assets Will Hasten Dollar Demise





Thus far the Russian response has been incredibly restrained, but that may not last forever. Continued economic pressure from the West may very well necessitate a Sino-Russian monetary arrangement that will eventually dethrone the dollar. The end result of this needless bullying by the United States will hasten the one thing Washington fears the most: a world monetary system in which the US has no say and the dollar is relegated to playing second fiddle.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Pop Goes The Bubble





Many people see national finances as an impenetrable fog of numbers and acronyms, which they feel is best left up to financial specialists to interpret for them. But try to see national finances as a henhouse, yourself as a hen, and financial specialists as foxes. Perhaps you should pay a little bit of attention - perhaps a bit more than one would expect from a chicken?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Instability Of The Global Game Of Central Bank Chicken





There’s a specific sort of instability in the world today – a game theoretic instability – which means that it has an identifiable pattern and rhythm you can understand in order to improve your investment strategy. It’s the instability of the game of Chicken, and once you start looking for it, you will see it everywhere here in the Golden Age of the Central Banker. Greece vs. the Troika? Chicken. Western sanctions on Russia over the Ukraine? Chicken. OPEC vs. US energy producers? Chicken. ECB vs. the Swiss National Bank? Chicken. Fed monetary policy communications to markets? Chicken. Abenomics? Chicken. US policy towards China? Chicken. ISIS vs. the world? Chicken.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why New Home Sales Remain At Recession Levels, In One Chart





What is the reason for the non-existant rebound? Simple: the following chart comparing total new home sales and the median new home sales price explains it.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China Soars 7% Off The Lows, Global Stocks Continue Rising On Ongoing "Greek Deal Optimism"





Before taking a look at Europe, an update on China. Just a few short hours ago, when looking at the bursting of the Chinese bubble where stocks were down between 3% and 5% across the board in the first post-holiday trading session after the worst week in 7 years, we said that "without assistance (levitation) from the same PBOC that just clamped down on liquidity, the China bubble has burst." And then as if by request, minutes later we got, drumroll, levitation and the stickiest stick-save by the PBOC seen in months, when the Shanghai Composite staged an unprecedented 7% surge from the lows to close 2.2% higher after tumbling as much as 5% earlier in the session. And just like that, faith in the "wealth effect" is preserved.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Jakobsen: Why Stocks Will Fall - "Consensus Is Wrong On US Rate Hikes"





Stock markets in the US and Europe are in for a correction, while the euro is set to rise, according to Saxo Bank’s Chief Economist Steen Jakobsen, nomatter what happens between Greece and its creditors. Steen also looks at the impact a rate hike from the US Federal Reserve would have on USD and what currencies could gain once the Fed decides to move on rates, noting that "the consensus has it wrong on the timing of US rate hike," as the credit cycle topped in June 2014. He believes that commodities and metals in particular offer opportunities for investors.

 
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