European shares dipped and U.S. equity-index futures (-0.3%) pointed to a lower open as traders questioned the stability of the Italian banking sector ahead of next weekend's referendum as well as the longevity of the Trumpflation rally, pressuring the dollar. "It's a bit of a pull back in the dollar," said Societe Generale strategist Alvin Tan. "The fall in oil is pushing back U.S. bond yields and that is leading the consolidation in the dollar.. there is more scepticism about an (OPEC) output cut now."
While giant numbers like $20 trillion sound abstract and meaningless, converting them to debt-per-capita can make things more intuitive. While many are rightly concerned about what Trump policies mean for government debt, it is the Belgians, Singaporeans, Irish, and Japanese that should really be worrying...
"Yes, the parallels [with Reagan] are certainly there... I’ve been in touch with the Trump team. I’ve even written a book about Trump.... But those guys are going to be surprised. They just have no idea what they’re up against....I’ve seen it happen. There are alligators in that swamp."
Unable to spend or deposit their sackfuls of large bank notes amid India’s crackdown on hoarding cash, business owners across the country are paying employees months of salary in advance, ringing up bogus sales and even buying gold they can smuggle overseas to get rid of stashed money or conceal its source.
The fact that stocks are at record highs as the “dollar” disrupts still another time is as regular as the seasons. Stocks are fueled by hope which takes time for the “dollar” to disprove through first its own systems and then full economy; as it has time and again.
"Markets have a pronounced tendency to rush to judgment when policy changes occur. When the Obama stimulus of 2009 was announced, the presumption was that it would lead to an inflationary boom. Similarly, the unveiling of QE1 raised expectations of a runaway inflation. Yet, neither happened. The economics are not different now. Under present conditions, it is our judgment that the declining secular trend in Treasury bond yields remains intact."
What Yellen and Trump don’t understand is that our nation is both debt-disabled and asset-bubble addicted, which requires interest rates to be near zero or the whole ersatz economy will implode. The bond bubble’s collapse will bring Trump to that reality very soon.
The US election this Tuesday is the main focus of the week. The key economic release this week is University of Michigan consumer sentiment on Friday. There are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week.
"We are experiencing deep economic problems and it is the fault of the economics discipline. Their macro theories suck... But, there is no mechanism forcing it to alter its models when they don’t appear to work."
From here on out politics are only relevant at the extremes - major war, corruption scandal, martial law etc.Short of that, the fiat currency/fractional reserve banking world has such institutional momentum that it really won’t matter whether Trump is picking on bankers and building his wall or Clinton is protecting Wall Street and raising taxes. Debt will keep soaring as it has under every president since Reagan and jobs will disappear as machines replace people, thus bringing the end of the current system inexorably closer.