Monsanto

Global Bonds Plunge As "Trumpflation" Rally Returns, Dollar Jumps

After taking a one day breather, the "Trumpflation Rally" returned with a vengeance as global government bonds tumbled and the dollar rose on renewed speculation the economic outlook is strong enough to allow the Federal Reserve to hike in December (odds are now 94%). Asian shares rose, industrial metals and crude oil fell, European shares and US equity futures were pressured.

Frontrunning: November 14

  • Trump shapes White House, hires establishment figure, firebrand (Reuters)
  • The Trump Effect: Rout in Global Bonds and Emerging Markets Intensifies (BBG); Government Bond Rout Deepens (WSJ); Dollar soars as U.S. yields spike; global shares divided (Reuters)
  • Oil pinned near three-month lows as gloom grows over OPEC (Reuters)
  • Thin Rank of Donors May Contend for Top Posts (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Election Upends Agenda for Obama’s Last Foreign Trip (BBG)

Frontrunning: October 21

  • Trump, Clinton trade barbed jokes for charity (Reuters)
  • Islamic State retaliates as Iraqi forces push on Mosul (Reuters)
  • Hedge Fund Managers Struggle to Master Their Miserable New World (BBG)
  • Woebegone Stock Pickers Vow: We Shall Return! (WSJ)
  • Madonna pledges oral sex for Clinton voters (The Hill)

Frontrunning: October 6

  • Millions flee as Southeast U.S. braces for Hurricane Matthew (Reuters)
  • Hurricane Matthew Is a $15 Billion Threat Headed to Florida (BBG)
  • Three Risks to the Global Financial System as Debt Hits Record Levels (WSJ)
  • Deutsche Bank’s $14 Billion Scare (BBG)
  • Deutsche Bank Mismarked 37 Deals Like Paschi’s, Audit Says (BBG)
  • Monte Paschi Said to Plan Debt-Swap Deadline Before Italian Poll (BBG)
Knave Dave's picture

Trump's corporate tax cut is the largest in US history, but it's another giveaway to the top 10%, including himself. It comes with no constraints so it will be spent on more stock buybacks and bigger bonuses. If you want a place at the table, you're going to have to fight for it; otherwise, you can stay below with the rest of the dying middle class and lick up the crumbs.

US Futures, Bonds Rise, Dollar Dips As Fed, BOJ Meetings Begin

If yesterday one could "explain" the overnight stock levitation due to the move higher in crude oil, today there is no such catalyst with WTI down modestly, and yet the broader push higher across European stocks and US equities has reappeared following yesterday's muted close on Wall Street ahead of key central bank data on deck.

Frontrunning: September 15

  • Global stocks struggle for footing after bond slip (Reuters)
  • Mobileye says Tesla was 'pushing the envelope in terms of safety' (Reuters)
  • Donald Trump is a problem for the whole world, EU's Schulz says (Reuters)
  • Stuck on Ship, One Gloomy Hanjin Crew Waits to Learn Its Fate (WSJ)
  • U.K. Approves EDF’s £18 Billion Hinkley Point Nuclear Project (BBG)

Frontrunning: September 14

  • Bayer wins over Monsanto with improved $66 billion bid (Reuters)
  • Yen trims gains as doubts creep in over BOJ easing (Reuters)
  • BOJ to make negative rates centerpiece of future easing: sources (Reuters)
  • Stocks Halt Selloff in Europe as Commodities Gains Lift Miners (BBG)
  • Donald Trump, New Team Recast His TV Image (WSJ)
  • Hanjin Brings One of World's Busiest Shipping Terminals Close to Standstill (BBG)

Global Market Rout Abates As Bond Selloff Pauses, Oil Rebounds

After a sudden rout in financial markets that wiped $2 trillion in global market cap over the past week showed signs of easing, overnight stocks tried to stage another "BTFD-type" comeback with European stocks climbing for the first time in five days as oil and metals prices gained. S&P futures were modestly in green, although they faded earlier gains, on the back of a slide in the USDJPY which initially spiked to 103.31 only to fade back to the mid 102-range.