Mortgage Backed Securities

"Dear Fed, Hike Slower... Shrink Faster..."

"Investors not being properly rewarded for the risk they are taking can have longer term repercussions... The normal process of price discovery has been changed, not just by the Fed’s activity in the market using its balance sheet, but also through the constant barrage of headlines designed to move markets."

"It's Too Late" - 7 Signs Australia Can't Avoid Economic Apocalypse

"Millions of ordinary, financially unprepared, Australians are now at the mercy of the international markets and foreign policy makers... Unfortunately, the window for taking pre-emptive action with an orderly unwinding of structural macroeconomic imbalances has now closed..."

Is This Why The Fed Is Raising Rates???

As the Fed is in the midst of a rate hike cycle, it seems important to remember why this cycle is like no previous rate hike cycle.  The mechanics of this hiking cycle are completely unique and experimental...thus the outcome is far more of an unknown than "normal".

Goldman's Take On The FOMC: Taper In September, Next Rate Hike In December

As Goldman notes, the Committee expects to begin the process of balance sheet normalization this year, and an updated set of normalization principles clarified the series of caps. Taken together, Goldman continues to expect the announcement of balance sheet normalization in September and a return to rate hikes in December.

Chris Whalen: "The Dollar Super-Cycle Ends"

It seems that many market indicators such as the dollar and LIBOR suggest a market that is either schizophrenic or dysfunctional.  Our guess is the latter...

All Eyes On Washington: US Futures Rise On Hope Healthcare Vote Will Pass

Asian shares and S&P futures rose on optimism that today's rescheduled U.S. vote on health care will pass following Trump's Ultimatum to the Freedom Caucus. European stocks gave up some of Thursday’s gains, falling for the fourth time in five days, and moving further away from a 15-month high reached a week ago while the yen weakened for the first time in nine days.

A Time For Caution

"We have argued the current monetary regime is in its evanescence, and that the Fed is trying to raise rates to attract global wealth to dollars and dollar-denominated assets as global leverage, demand and output growth declines. If we are right, then we should not expect other economies to sit by idly... which keep us cautious on equities, bullish on Treasuries and gold, and negative on credit:"