Mortgage Backed Securities

Goldman's Take On The FOMC: Taper In September, Next Rate Hike In December

As Goldman notes, the Committee expects to begin the process of balance sheet normalization this year, and an updated set of normalization principles clarified the series of caps. Taken together, Goldman continues to expect the announcement of balance sheet normalization in September and a return to rate hikes in December.

Chris Whalen: "The Dollar Super-Cycle Ends"

It seems that many market indicators such as the dollar and LIBOR suggest a market that is either schizophrenic or dysfunctional.  Our guess is the latter...

All Eyes On Washington: US Futures Rise On Hope Healthcare Vote Will Pass

Asian shares and S&P futures rose on optimism that today's rescheduled U.S. vote on health care will pass following Trump's Ultimatum to the Freedom Caucus. European stocks gave up some of Thursday’s gains, falling for the fourth time in five days, and moving further away from a 15-month high reached a week ago while the yen weakened for the first time in nine days.

A Time For Caution

"We have argued the current monetary regime is in its evanescence, and that the Fed is trying to raise rates to attract global wealth to dollars and dollar-denominated assets as global leverage, demand and output growth declines. If we are right, then we should not expect other economies to sit by idly... which keep us cautious on equities, bullish on Treasuries and gold, and negative on credit:"

Futures, Dollar Slide; European Stocks At 3-Week Lows As "Trump Reality Sets In"

While US stocks closed near session, and all time highs on Friday, the first green close on inauguration day in over 50 years, Monday has seen a modest case of buyer's remorse, with European stocks sliding, Asian shares mixed and U.S. futures lower as the dollar weakened for the 3rd consecutive day to a six-week low, dropping as much as 1% against the Yen, as anxious investors awaited more details of Donald Trump’s policies.

The False Economic Recovery Narrative Will Die In 2017

The false recovery narrative will indeed die in 2017, and it will be because the globalists WANT it to die while nationalists are at the helm. This is perhaps the biggest con game in recent history; with conservatives as the fall guy and the rest of the public as the gullible mark.

Will A Stronger Dollar Cause A Trade War With Europe?

Everyone and their dog in the marketplace realizes that an EMU (European Monetary Union) debt crisis before the German elections next Autumn could sink Chancellor Merkel. There is a deeper problem here. It is becoming clear that even beyond Europe’s election season, “monetary normalization” may well not be feasible.

Janet Yellen Explains How Dovish Her Rate Hike Is - Fed Press Conference Live Feed

Just as Mario Draghi exlained how his reduced bond buying was not a taper, we suspect the narrative espoused by Janet Yellen in her press conference today will be just how dovish this rate hike is.. and how the rate of normalization will be very gradual. The big question is, how will she respond to question about Trump's fiscal stimulus plan? Of course, this also may be her last flourish as Fed head, so anything goes.

Aussie Housing Market Collapses: Building Approvals Crash 25%

Following September's 9.3% MoM plunge in Aussie home approvals, hopes were high that October would see a bounce (expectations were for a 2% gain) as central bankers jawboned confidence higher. However, it didn't... Building approvals collapsed 12.6% MoM and a shocking 24.9% year-over-year decline is equal to the worst drop since Lehman. Ironically, just this month Aussie Treasurer eased restrictions on foreign buyers (otherwise known as bag holders it would seem).

Doug Noland Interview: "In The Next Crisis The Fed's Balance Sheet Will Hit $10 Trillion"

“I was very concerned back in 2007. I was very concerned with the consequences of this bubble imploding. I'm much more worried today. In 2007, I wasn't worried about the world. I wasn't worried about geopolitical. And I never want to be part of the lunatic fringe, but if people aren't concerned about geopolitics right now, they're not paying attention"

Aussie Property Bubble On A Scale Like No Other

The size of the Australian property bubble is old news. What is less well understood is how such a large and sustained bubble has distorted the Australian political economy.