Mortgage Loans

3M LIBOR Tops 1.00% For First Time Since 2009

While US equity prices push ebulliently towards their next level of Nirvana, financial conditions continue to tighten for American businesses. For the first time since April 2009, 3-month LIBOR - one of the most important reference rates for business financing - topped 1.00% today.

As Cash Shortage Leads To Manufacturing Contraction, Economic Shockwaves, Indian Banks Slash Interest Rates

Indian banks announced sharp cuts to their lending rates after a recent surge in deposits, raising hopes that lower borrowing costs will help spark credit growth in Asia's third-largest economy, at the same time as the December PMI survey showed the first contraction in India's manufacturing sector in one year, raising doubts about the world's fastest growing economy.

In Rare Move, US Sues Barclays For Mortgage Securities Fraud

The market was waiting for the DOJ to announce the long-awaited settlement with Deutsche Bank today. Instead, it got news of a surprise lawsuit filed by the DOJ which sued Barclays after failing to settle a long-running probe into the UK bank's involvement in pre-crisis mortgage fraud.

Frontrunning: November 2

  • U.S. Election Angst Spreads as Stocks Drop, Bonds Rise (BBG)
  • Fed Doesn’t Aim to Push Inflation Beyond 2% (WSJ)
  • Tighter Race Brings a Shift in Tactics (WSJ)
  • After another release of documents, FBI finds itself caught in a partisan fray (WaPo)
  • Trump Tells Early Voters to Change Their Ballots If They Have 'Buyer's Remorse' (ABC)
  • More Pot, Fewer Guns, Higher Pay: Other Big Issues on the Ballot (BBG)
  • Banks No Longer Make the Bulk of U.S. Mortgages (WSJ)

China Injects Economy With A Quarter Trillion In Debt In One Month, But The Full Story Is Much Scarier

"From a growth rate perspective, the speed of credit expansion is alarming. The current pace of credit growth in China is realistically in a range between 19% and 20%, well above the reported official TSF growth of 12.4% and new loan growth of 13.0% in September. Relative to GDP, China’s credit-to-GDP ratio currently in a range from 260% to 275% of GDP as of September 2016" - Barclays

Frontrunning: October 5

  • ECB 'taper' talk hits stocks, sterling hits 31-year low (Reuters)
  • Crude Rises to Three-Month High After U.S. Stockpiles Plunge (BBG)
  • Gross Says He Shortened Duration on Europe After Taper News (BBG)
  • Chicago Fed's Evans 'fine' with December hike if data stays firm (Reuters)
  • Euro zone business growth at 21-month low in September (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Brings Too-Big-to-Fail Quandary Home to Merkel (BBG)

China Floods Economy With Over Rmb 1 Trillion In New August Credit

When one month ago China announced that it had created just Rmb 488 billion in new credit as per its broadest credit aggregation metric, Total Social Financing, there was broad concern that the PBOC had again hit the brakes on the country's rampant credit expansion. Those concerns were more than allayed, however, overnight, when the PBOC released its latest August new credit data, which saw total credit grow by well over Rmb 1 trillion.

Developing Countries Emulate The US, Turn Citizens Into Debt Slaves

One of the big advantages of being a Latin American or Asian country used to be - somewhat counter-intuitively - the lack of credit available to most citizens. The banking system in, say, Brazil or Thailand simply wasn’t “advanced” enough to offer credit card, auto, or mortgage loans on a scale sufficient to turn the locals into US-style debt slaves. But that, alas, is changing as those countries adopt their rich cousins’ worst habits.