Moving Averages

Bull Hopes, Bear Signals

“There is nothing riskier than the widespread perception that there is no risk.”

June Payrolls Preview: With The Fed On Autopilot, You Can Skip This One

After a poor March jobs report, followed by an April scorcher, then another debacle in May, the June payrolls report due at 8:30am will be... very much irrelevant, because as Citi pointed out earlier, the Fed is now data-indepdendent and will keep hiking until financial conditions finally tighten (read: stocks drop). For what it's worth, here are the consensus expectations for tomorrow's report.

7 Myths Of Investing

"There are no sidelines. Those saying this seem to envision a seller of stocks moving her money to cash and awaiting a chance to return. But they always ignore that this seller sold to somebody, who presumably moved a precisely equal amount of cash off the sidelines."

Key Events In The Coming Holiday-Shortened Week: Payrolls, Fed Minutes, ISM, G-20

The key economic releases this week are ISM manufacturing on Monday, ISM non-manufacturing on Thursday, and the employment report on Friday. There are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week, including a speech by Fed Vice Chair Fischer on Thursday. The minutes from the June FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday.

Bill Blain: "The 1-, 4- And 10-Year Cycles Top Out Mid-August At Which Point Be Very Afraid... Or Something Like That"

"Steve has thrown his bag of market bones into the air, and based how they’ve landed, his market read is for the current cycle to bottom in the next few days and could well turn positive into August. He’s got a wary eye looking at 1 year, 4 year and 10-year cycles which don’t top out till mid-August – at which point… Be very afraid.. or something like that..."