• Phoenix Capital...
    10/01/2014 - 11:24
    We have the very makings of a Crash. If stocks breakdown from this line and cannot reclaim it, we could easily wipe out all of the gains going back to 2013.

Moving Averages

Tyler Durden's picture

Is Risk-On About To Switch To Risk-Off?





Even the most avid Bulls should grasp that market corrections of 10% to 20% are statistical features of all markets. Cranking markets full of financial cocaine so they never correct simply sets up the crash-and-burn destruction of the addict.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Technical Overview Ahead of Next Week's Key Events





Simple review of technical condition of the capital markets.  Light on polemical zeal, and heavy on technical analysis.  

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Defying Gravity: The Case For Hedging Against A Market Downturn





Today's markets exist in an Oz-like, fantasy world. For 5 years now, stock and bond prices have risen like Dorothy's balloon, with hardly a puff of downdraft to spoil the fun. Everybody likes higher prices, so let's have them always go up! Forever! But what if...

 
GoldCore's picture

Gold Breaks Out As Tensions In Middle East, With Russia Intensify - Technicals and Fundamentals Positive





Gold is nearly 2% higher this week and its technical position has further improved (see key charts). On Wednesday, gold broke out of bullish descending wedge chart pattern that has formed in recent months. Another buy signal for gold came when gold rose above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA (exponential moving averages). Also positive is the fact that the price momentum oscillator (PMO) has turned up, indicating that a positive momentum shift has occurred.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Hussman's Hint Of Advance Warning





Historically-informed investors are being given a hint of advance warning here, in the form of a strenuously overvalued market that now demonstrates a clear breakdown in internals. We observe these breakdowns in the form of surging credit spreads (junk bond yields versus Treasury yields of similar maturity), weakness in small capitalization stocks, and other measures. These divergences have actually been building for months, but rather quietly.

 
GoldCore's picture

Silver Eagle Bullion Coins Reach 26 Million For 2014





The stealth phenomenon that is silver stackers or long term store of value buyers of silver coins and bars continues and is seen in the record levels of demand for silver eagles from the U.S. Mint. Silver stackers are those who are more informed about the fundamentals of the silver market and are concerned regarding systemic and monetary risks ...

 
GoldCore's picture

Currency Wars Intensify As Russia Buys 18.6 Tonnes Of Gold In June





Aggressive buying of gold and particularly silver by Russia will likely lead to defaults on the COMEX gold and silver futures exchanges and potentially an international monetary crisis. As sanctions, economic war and currency wars intensify we expect Russian and Russian ally buying of gold and selling of dollars to intensify ...

 
GoldCore's picture

Silver Manipulation To End In Default; $150 Per Ounce Possible - Video





Manipulation of the silver market was covered in a just released ‘Get REAL’ Special on Silver. Key topics discussed in the interview include * The fix is in: Old boys, pints of beer, big cigars and top hats, * the risk of manipulation through HFT, computer trading and ‘dark pools,' * “Meet the new boss; same as the old boss,'  * The importance of owning allocated and especially segregated silver

 
Marc To Market's picture

Fade the Break?





Near-term outlook for the dollar, without resorting to inflammatory and unproven claims.

 
GoldCore's picture

Gold Surges Above Resistance At $1,334 As Israel Prepares Possible Invasion Of Gaza





Gold had strong chart resistance at $1,334/oz as this was the 61.8% retracement of the March to June retreat. Gold has now broken convincingly above resistance and the key 50, 100 and 200 day moving averages (see chart).

 
GoldCore's picture

Germany Still Wants Gold Back – Repatriation Campaign Continues





Bloomberg reported yesterday that the German campaign to repatriate German gold from the U.S. has ended. The leader of the German gold repatriation movement, “Repatriate our Gold,” Peter Boehringer immediately refuted the article and posted in the comment section at the bottom of the article … The campaign to achieve a free market in gold and silver prices will continue.

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Silver Headfake Report: 22 June, 2014





Something extraordinary occurred this week. The Fed made a routine announcement. Fireworks began the next day. In 6 hours, the price of silver skyrocketed by 5%.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

1994, 2004, 2014: Is The Bounce In Yields The Start Of Something Bigger?





The recent decline in US yields appears to have run its course and given Citi's outlook for a better employment dynamic in the US, they expect yields to trend higher at this point. Citi's FX Technicals group remain of the bias that the normalization of labor markets (and the economy) will lead to a normalization in monetary policy and as a result significantly higher yields in the long run. Might the shock be that the Fed could be grudgingly tightening by late 2014/early 2015 (an equal time line to the 1994-2004 gap would suggest end November 2014) just as it was grudgingly easing by late 2007 despite being quite hawkish earlier that year? However, given the "treacherous market conditions" we suspect Citi's hoped-for normalization won't go quite as smoothly as The Fed hopes.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

More Signs Of Bullish Excess





Stocks have not "reached a permanently high plateau" nor will "this time be different." As with all late cycle bull markets, irrationality by investors in the financial markets is not new nor will it end any differently than it has in the past. However, it is also important to realize that these late cycle stages of bull markets can last longer, and become even more irrational, than logic would dictate. Understanding the bullish arguments is surely important, however, the risk to investors is not a continued rise in price, but the eventual reversion that will occur. Unfortunately, since most individuals are only told to consider the "bull case," they never see the "train coming."

 
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