One of the most fascinating aspects of market psychology is participants’ tendency to get bullish at new highs, especially in light of the fact that in recent years every major rally, especially those producing new highs, have set up for a sizable trade to the short side.
Did Jeff Gundlach do it again? Shortly after the DoubleLine manager told Reuters yesterday afternoon that the Trump rally is ending, that "stocks have peaked" and that it is "too late to buy the Trump trade", US stocks tumbled to session lows, and have continued to drop overnight, with S&P futures down 0.3%, alongside sliding Asian and European markets.
Starbucks has announced that its CEO, Howard Schultz, a vocal proponent of the minimum wage and vocal supporter of Hillary Clinton not to mention the person who almost single-handedly created Starbucks as a worldwide brand, is stepping down and will be replaced by COO Kevin Johnson.
It appears the growthiness of the new regime is not so friendly to FANG stocks and big tech as the Nasdaq just gave up all its gains post-election.While tech is the biggest loser in stock land, it's the bloodbath in bonds that is most worrisome as 30Y yields spike another 10bps today..
European, Asian stocks rise as do S&P futures as OPEC ministers gathering in Vienna appeared to be set to announce a deal to cut oil production and prop up global prices. Oil has surged over 7% as a result, also pushing US TSY yields and the dollar higher.
Everybody’s talking about the feds’ opportunity to “invest” free money. It makes us nervous; we know how hard it is to get a good return on investment – especially when you don’t know what you’re doing.
European stocks were little changed and oil fell as investors assessed declining prospects for an OPEC deal and risks from Italy’s referendum. Asian stocks declined, while S&P futures pointed to a fractionally higher open, erasing 3 points from yesterday's drop.
European shares dipped and U.S. equity-index futures (-0.3%) pointed to a lower open as traders questioned the stability of the Italian banking sector ahead of next weekend's referendum as well as the longevity of the Trumpflation rally, pressuring the dollar. "It's a bit of a pull back in the dollar," said Societe Generale strategist Alvin Tan. "The fall in oil is pushing back U.S. bond yields and that is leading the consolidation in the dollar.. there is more scepticism about an (OPEC) output cut now."
Having soared to fresh 13 year highs in a quiet overnight session on thin liquidity due to the US Thanksgiving holiday the dollar pared back its weekly advance with modest profit taking after traders wondered if the rally has gotten "too stretched." European shares were fractionally higher, with Asian stocks and US equity futures rising and both the Dow Jones and the S&P set for new all time highs.