National Debt

A "Big Problem" Emerges For Trump's Economic Plan

Republican lawmakers warn that there could be a major obstacle to enacting President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda: the national debt. As Senator Jeff Flake said of deficits and debt: "I was disappointed that it wasn’t brought up in the campaign. It’s the biggest problem we face, by far."

About That "Fair Share"

There are two words that kept coming up over and over again over the last 20+ months during the US Presidential circus: “fair share”. It sounds really great, and given the voter statistics, this idea resonated with tens of millions of people. After all, who could possibly be against fairness? When you dive into the numbers, however, the data doesn’t support this assertion at all.

What Will Trump Do About The Fed, The Debt Ceiling, And Trade: His Key Economic Advisor Explains

David Malpass, Donald Trump's economic adviser who has been tasked with overseeing the transition for the Treasury Department and economic policy, addressed a group of economists and reporters in Washington discussing everything from the Fed, to the debt ceiling, to infrastructure spending, to NAFTA and Dodd-Frank, providing an insight in Trump's thinking on these key items. This is what he said.

Weekend Reading: The Trump Effect

It has been interesting to watch market participants swing from “Trump The Terrible” to “Trump The Great” in relation to the markets and economy and he isn’t even in office yet. But while Trump certainly has an extensive list of actions for his first 100-days, there are many headwinds to actual policy implementation and ultimately their success.

The Scenic Route To Hell

Regardless of who won the American presidential election, market collapses, debt defaults and an eventual currency collapse were baked in the cake. It’s safe to say that, should they occur in the next four years, as would seem likely, they would be blamed on the president, as they would happen on his watch. This being the case, in addition to the fact that conservative thinkers are aging and being replaced by collectivists, it’s very likely that the US is looking at its last Republican president.

Trump Or No Trump - Why The Next 8 Years Will Be The Worst Economic Period In US History

Regardless who was chosen as president for the next two terms, 80% of the population growth in the US will come from 65+yr/olds. This is the inverse from Bill Clinton's presidency which was the benefactor of the strongest demographic and population changes. The Fed has been dropping rates ever since to incentivize the decelerating growth among the young to spend more... but the population growth to consume(r) our way out of this debt bubble is never coming.

"A Barrage Of Fed Speakers": The Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

As markets continue to digest the implications of the US election outcome, there is a host of data and Central Bank communication adding to the running narrative with Fed speakers appearing on every single day of the week. In addition to barrage of daily Fed speakers, including Chair Yellen, we get US inflation data, retail sales, housing data, empire manufacturing, industrial production and the Philly Fed.

Much More Than Trump

"Revolutions dawn when an appreciable number of the ruled realize their rulers are intellectual and moral inferiors."