new economy

Industrial Production Growth Slows For First Time Since January

Following May's disappointing MoM collapse in industrial production growth, economists had hoped for a modest 0.3% rebound and were pleasantly surprised with 0.4% gain in June (and upward revision for May). However, year-over-year growth in industrial production slowed from +2.1% to +2.0% YoY - its first slowdown since January.

US Factory Orders Tumble Most Since November... "We're Gonna Need More War"

Despite all the exuberance over ISM 'soft' data, 'hard' data takes another hit today as Factory Orders for May tumbled 0.8% (worse than the 0.5% expected drop) for the biggest slide since November. This is the second monthly decline in a row, signaling Q2 GDP may be weaker than expected.

Uber Suffers Major Setback In Efforts To Conquer European Market

For years Uber has been battling with Barcelona taxi drivers who have argued that UberPOP engages in unfair competition by using unlicensed drivers that are not subject of the same regulatory hurdles as a regular "transport company."  And while Uber has historically taken the approach of just entering new markets and sorting out the regulatory hurdles later, it looks like those hurdles are finally catching up with them in the European Union...

Are Tax Cuts The Economic Growth 'Cure-All'?

"Will 'Trumponomics' change the course of the U.S. economy? I certainly hope so. Unfortunately, there is no evidence that such has ever been the case. As investors, we must understand the difference between a 'narrative-driven' advance and one driven by strengthening fundamentals. The first is short-term and leads to bad outcomes. The other isn’t, and doesn’t."

Frontrunning: March 29

  • British PM May fires starting gun on Brexit (Reuters); Britain Starts ‘Historic’ Brexit Process (BBG)
  • Firms stack up Brexit warnings as May triggers divorce talks (Reuters)
  • Huge range of sterling forecasts clouds horizon for Brexit talks (Reuters)
  • Merger of Deutsche Börse and LSE Blocked by EU Regulator (WSJ)
  • After crippling cost overruns, Toshiba's Westinghouse files for bankruptcy (Reuters)

The US Is About To Hit $20 Trillion In Debt: Here's How It Affects You

As the vulture pundits in the mainstream media pick apart hollow political scandals, the essential bankruptcy of the federal government looms just ahead. The national debt is creeping toward 20 trillion dollars, and the United State’s largest problem is once again staring the world in the face.

3 Things: Policy Hopes, Consumer-Spending Puppies, & Tax-Cut Rainbows

"Will “Trumponomics” change the course of the U.S. economy? We certainly hope so as any improvement that filters down to the bottom 80% of the country will be beneficial. However, as investors, we must understand the difference between a “narrative-driven” advance and one driven by strengthening fundamentals. The first is short-term and leads to bad outcomes. The other isn’t, and doesn’t. "

Do Central Bankers Know A Bubble When They See One?

In spite of being exposed in what is either a self-exculpating lie (the claim that bubbles can only be seen after they burst) or a sign of gross incompetence (the failure to see two of the largest financial bubbles in history), no Fed official has ever been asked to explain or rationalize the Fed’s contradictory positions on bubbles.