New Normal

"Whatever It Takes" Remains The New Normal

"Flaws reminiscent of some of the most obtuse assumptions that led to the financial crisis and have been the cornerstone of extraordinary monetary policies since then."

Bill Gross Says Yellen "Worships False Idols" So "Worry About The Return Of Your Money, Not On It"

"Investors should not hope unrealistically for deficit spending any time soon. To me, that means at best, a ceiling on risk asset prices (stocks, high yield bonds, private equity, real estate) and at worst, minus signs at year's end that force investors to abandon hope for future returns compared to historic examples. Worry for now about the return "of" your money, not the return "on" it."

"This Is The Capitulation Phase" - Why Treasury Yields Are About To Really Plunge

For the rates market, the significance of this acceptance phase by pensions cannot be understated, in our opinion. A $3 trillion industry running a $500 billion funding gap and a significant duration gap waking up to reality is likely to have major implications for the market. In the extreme case, entire pensions could be offloaded from corporate balance sheets to insurance companies (increasingly like the UK, Exhibit 1)–generating significant demand for long-end duration during such transactions.

Stocks Near All Time High Despite 16 Straight Week Of US Mutual Fund Outflows, Historic "Redemption Day"

The new normal sure is strange: with the S&P flirting with all time highs, not to mention staging another dramatic V-shaped comeback from the post-Brexit crash which saw S&P futures trade limit down a week ago, investors keep on selling. According to Lipper data, U.S.-based stock mutual funds, which are held by retail mom-and-pop investors, posted cash withdrawals of $2.8 billion over the weekly period ended Wednesday; this was the 16th consecutive week of outflows.

The End Of Cheap China - 16 Emerging Low Wage Economies

International capitalism requires a low-wage, high-growth region for high rewards on risk capital. In the 1880s it was the United States, for example. China was the most recent region, replacing Japan. No one country can replace China, but we have noted 16 countries with a total population of about 1.15 billion people where entry-level manufacturing has gone after leaving China.

VIX Volume Explodes As "Markets Struggle To Believe Anything"

Amid turmoil in Chinese FX markets (which has not ended well in the past), the need to hedge against the looming Brexit vote, and rapidly fading confidence in the ability of The Fed, BoJ, ECB to save the world; it appears what was an ignorantly complacent market has suddenly shrugged off the denial (perhaps face-slapped by Yellen) and is buying protection (in the form of VIX ETNs) with both hands and feet. As Bloomberg's Richard Breslow so eloquently notes, "markets are struggling to believe in anything."