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Nationalized Spanish Bank Plummets On News Of Bank Run





The problem with bank runs is that once they start, they don't stop. And while the world was conveniently distracted by events in Greece, debating whether or not people were withdrawing money in droves (they were), the real bank run happened elsewhere, namely in Spain, where just nationalized bank Bankia moments ago plunged 30% and was halted following an El Mundo report that "customers had withdrawn €1 billion over the past week." In other words -  a bank run (but whatever you do, don't call it that - it's not the politically correct and accepted nomenclature) which has sent shockwaves through Europe, pushed the EURUSD under 1.27, and bond yields in their traditional "Europe is open" direction - wider.

 
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Overnight Sentiment: More Of The Same





Overnight: just more of the same, as markets collapsed, first in Asia, then in Europe, on ever more concerns what a Greek exit would do to Europe. The most important story of the night was a report in Dutch Dagblad claiming that ECB has turned off the tap for Greek bank liquidity: "At the end of January, Greek banks had received EUR73 billion in liquidity support from the ECB, but this amount has dropped by more than 50% now, according to the newspaper. The ECB is cutting back support because Greece has been holding off on recapitalizing its banking system, despite receiving EUR25 billion in funds for that purpose, the paper says." Whether this move is to force Greece to blink (even more) by making the previously reported bank run even more acute, or just general European stupidity, is unclear but it is certain to make the funding stresses across all of Europe far more acute. The news sent all peripheral bond yields soaring, and the EURUSD tumbling to under 1.27 briefly. 

 
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Majority Of Neo-Normal Greek Cops Vote Neo-Nazi





In a somewhat stunning revelation, especially after our earlier note on the Golden Dawn leader's 'position' on the issues of the day, GreekReporter notes via the news paper To Vima, that more than half of all police officers in Greece voted for pro-Nazi party Golden Dawn in the elections of May 6th. It's not really for us to judge (well maybe it is) but when some polling stations report Golden Dawn receiving 19-24% of the votes, things are going from the dismal to the horrific (and potentially chaotic) very fast.

 
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Bundesbank Confirms German Gold Held By FED, BOE and Banque De France





Germany's Bundesbank confirmed yesterday that the German gold reserves are held overseas by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Banque de France. The German parliament, the Bundestag, has been examining the accounting of German gold reserves at the Bundesbank. The parliament's Budget Committee, one of the most powerful committees in the German parliament, had requested a critical report by the Federal Audit Office. "The decision has been unanimous," the paper quoted the Christian Social Union budget expert Herbert Frankenhauser. The newspaper report alleged "account cheating" regarding the German gold reserves. According to a Bild report, the federal auditing office complained of "inadequate diligence of the accounting of the gold reserves, which are stored in some foreign countries. Repatriation of the gold reserves is encouraged.” The Bundesbank confirmed that it, like many central banks, keeps part of its reserves in vaults at foreign central banks and said some of its gold is held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Banque de France and the Bank of England. It declined to say how much gold in total is held overseas or how much gold is stored with the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Banque de France. The Bundesbank statement said it had complete confidence in the integrity of the central banks where the gold is held. "From these central banks, the German Bundesbank annually gets confirmation of the gold holdings in troy ounces as a basis for its accounting," the Bundesbank’s statement said.

 
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Greece Virtually Out Of Cash One Day Before Critical Bond Maturity





Things are moving fast now.

 
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Merkel's CDU Trounced In Most Populous State Elections Over Austerity; Pirates Strong





Another weekend, another stunner in local European elections, this time as Merkel's CDU gets a record low vote in the state elections of Germany's most populous state North Rhein-Westphalia. According to a preliminary projections by ARD, the breakdown is as follows:

  • SPD:39%
  • CDU: 26%
  • Greens:12%
  • Pirates: 7.5%
  • FDP: 8.5%
  • Left:2.5%

Good news: no neo-nazis. Bad news: record defeat for the Chancellor. And the bext news for twitter fans: Angela_D_Merkel ist aus. Hannelore Kraft: in.

 
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Europe Blinks: Troika Willing To Change Terms Of Greek Bailout Deal





And so it all begins anew: "The so-called troika of the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank is willing to make six important changes to Greece’s financial aid agreement if a pro-European government is formed in the country, Real News said.  The Troika is willing to extend by one year to end 2015 the time for Greece to cut its budget deficit as well as to proceed with a restructuring of loans, the Athens-based newspaper reported in its Sunday edition preleased today, citing “well informed” sources at the European Commission."

 
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China Gives Up On Europe, Will Target Africa Instead





That China has finally given up on Europe is no news (granted, however, it will make it more complicated for various European newspaper to make up articles alleging China will bail out Europe now that this is no longer the case): after all even the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund has finally learned its lesson, and having been burned enough times, has made it quite clear it will have nothing to do with Europe's insolvent periphery. China, which has already lost enough money on Europe, has now decided to do the same. From Bloomberg: "China Investment Corp. has stopped buying European government debt because of an economic crisis on the continent, though it continues to look for new investments there, said CIC President Gao Xiqing. “What is happening in Europe right now is of course of concern,” Gao said yesterday in an interview in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, during the World Economic Forum on Africa. “We still have our people looking at opportunities in Europe, even though we don’t want to buy any government bonds.” Sorry Europe: you had your chance. As for where China will invest its capital in the future? Why the one continent so far untouched by globalization, and which has the most debt capacity of all...

 
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Frontrunning: May 9





  • Borrowers Face Big Delays in Refinancing Mortgages (WSJ)
  • Greek left attacks ‘barbarous’ austerity (FT)
  • Would-be suicide bomber was U.S. informant (Reuters)
  • Cameron says Euro needs single government: report (Reuters)
  • Demonstrators targeting BofA annual meeting (Reuters)
  • Moody’s Bank Downgrades Risk Choking European Recovery (Bloomberg)
  • Lehman E-Mails Show Wall Street Arrogance Led to the Fall (Bloomberg)
  • What Hollande must tell Germany (Martin Wolf) (FT)
  • Why France Has So Many 49-Employee Companies (BusinessWeek)
 
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Guest Post: The Yemen Underwear Bomb and Other Hobgoblins





Today it was widely reported that the CIA thwarted a “plot by al Qaeda’s affiliate in Yemen to destroy a U.S.-bound airliner using a bomb.”  This bomb, which was to be concealed in a pair of underwear, was designed as an improvement over what Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab attempted to use to blow up an airliner over Detroit on Christmas Day of 2009.  This bomb was upgraded and designed to specifically avoid metal detectors. At first glance it would appear to be a job well done by the world’s leading domestic affairs meddlers. The truth was finally revealed as the would-be bomber was, in fact, a double agent of the CIA. When considering the nature of the state, this new instance of government supported terrorism is unsurprisingly comparable to previous cases. The alleged Yemen “underwear” bomber was just another fabricated spook in the long line of mounting justifications to keep the war on terror and its profiteers going; no matter the cost.  As long as the American people are still easily whipped into a frenzy over forged menaces from afar, their blood and treasure will go on to be squandered on military boondoggles and redundant intelligence agencies.  War and fear end up becoming a way of life.  And so does the state’s command over what could be a life of peace and tranquility for the nation it supposedly protects. This isn’t conspiracy theory; just a recognition of the various hobgoblins, as H.L. Mencken described them, invented to justify encroaching totalitarianism.

 
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Turkey Exports “Massive Quantities Of Gold” To Iran And Arab Spring Nations





While Turkey has assured the U.S. government it will cut purchases of oil from Iran by 20% this year, its total trade with the Islamic Republic increased 47% to $4.8 billion in the first quarter from a year earlier. Sanctions aimed at isolating Iran because of its nuclear program, combined with revolutions in the Middle East, have spurred a tripling in the region’s purchases of Turkish precious metals and jewels to $942 million in the first three months, from $282 million in the same period last year. This 30% increase in demand is contributing to gold remaining above $1,600/oz in what has all the hallmarks of another period of consolidation prior to higher prices. “Turkey is exporting massive quantities of gold to Iran and Arab Spring countries as citizens in those countries switch to portable wealth,” Mert Yildiz, chief economist for Turkey at Renaissance Capital, told Bloomberg on April 30. The increase in trade with Iran comes as sanctions make it harder for trading partners such as Turkey, India and China to pay in dollars and euros. Iran said in February it would accept payment in any local currency or gold. Reuters report today that Iran is accepting payments in yuan for some of the crude oil it supplies to China, the Iranian ambassador to the United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday. "Yes, that is correct," Mohammed Reza Fayyaz told Reuters when asked to comment on an earlier report in The Financial Times.

 
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Frontrunning: May 2





  • European Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest in Almost 15 Years (Bloomberg)
  • Chinese Activist Leaves U.S. Embassy (WSJ)
  • China April bank loans slide 30 pct from March-paper (Reuters)
  • Moody's warns against lack of tax hike in Japan (Reuters)
  • RIM CEO Bets on BlackBerry Without Keyboard to Challenge Apple (Bloomberg)
  • European visits focus on boosting trade (China Daily)
  • Martin Wolf- After the bonfire of the verities (FT)
  • German Jobless Unexpectedly Up in April as Crisis Flared (Bloomberg)
  • Romney Refuses to See China Progress on Yuan (Bloomberg)
  • Bolivia Following Argentine Takeover Deepens Regional Divide (Bloomberg)
  • Plosser Says Fed Must Guard Against Long-Term Inflation (Bloomberg)
 
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Bad News For Rupert Murdoch As Panel Finds Him Unfit To Lead





The parliamentary panel set up to determine the fate of Rupert Murdoch has spoken and it is not looking good for the media mogul whose empire is slowly being dismantled bit by bit:

  • RUPERT MURDOCH NOT `FIT' TO LEAD MAJOR COMPANY, PANEL SAYS
  • NEWS CORP. GUILTY OF WILFULL BLINDNESS OVER PHONE HACKING
  • MURDOCH EXECUTIVES MISLED PARLIAMENT OVER PHONE HACKING
  • NEWS CORP. STRATEGY WAS TO PROTECT JAMES MURDOCH, PANEL SAYS

We wonder what tipped them off: the years and years of accrued anger and hatred against a man who always had the trump card, which as it turned out was planted in various phone receivers across the country? Or maybe that giving a media company monopoly rights is not the best idea.

 
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