Nominal GDP

S&P Downgrades China To A+ From AA- Due To Soaring Debt Growth

"The downgrade reflects our assessment that a prolonged period of strong credit growth has increased China's economic and financial risks. Since 2009, claims by depository institutions on the resident nongovernment sector have increased rapidly. The increases have often been above the rate of income growth."

David Stockman Warns "Don't Forget About The Red Swan"

"...during the last 19 months the Red Ponzi propagated a false upturn in the global economy that is already decisively reversing. This comes at the same time that central banks of the major developed world economies are finally bringing their printing presses to a halt... the morning-after toll will be especially severe and disruptive - this used to be called a 'depression'..."

Sell US, Buy Japan?

"...Yeah, yeah, I know. Japan’s demographics are terrible. Their debt to GDP is mind numbingly large. It certainly appears as if their ability to grow is hampered by many handicaps... But since when have fundamentals mattered?"

UBS Explains Why The Next Credit Unwind Will Be Unlike Anything We've Seen Before

Several weeks ago, Janet Yellen boldly declared "I don't believe we will see another crisis in our lifetime."  For the rest of us who live in reality there is little doubt that the latest Fed-fueled credit bubble will eventually burst in epic fashion and once again lay waste to the personal balance sheets of millions of Americans.  The question isn't so much 'if', but rather 'how' and 'when.'

An Indicator Of Peril

"Since 1948 there have been 277 quarters of data. RVA has only been negative during recessions or in proximity to periods leading up to and/or following recessions... it is currently in negative territory..."