Nomination

Trump Treasury Nominee Mnuchin Declines To Answer Senator's Questions, Was Accused Of "Widespread Misconduct"

OneWest Bank, which Donald Trump’s nominee for treasury secretary, Steven Mnuchin, ran from 2009 to 2015, repeatedly broke California’s foreclosure laws during that period, according to a previously undisclosed 2013 memo from top prosecutors in the state attorney general’s office. Meanwhile, Mnuchin told Senator Sherrod Brown he declines to answer questions about his views on financial regulations, sanctions and his time as head of a bank

How George Soros Destroyed The Democratic Party

In 2016, Republicans control both legislative chambers in 32 states. That’s up from 16 in 2000. What happened to the big donkey? Among other things, the Democrats decided to sell their base and their soul to a very bad billionaire and they got a very bad deal for both.

Goldman's 10 Most Important Questions For 2017

Goldman Sachs is relatively optimistic about growth in 2017, for three reasons: first, despite the lack of spare capacity, US recession risk remains below the historical average; second, financial conditions should remain a growth tailwind - at least in the first half of 2017; and third, we expect a fiscal easing accumulating to 1% of GDP by 2018. However, uncertainty remains and here is what Jan Hatzius and his team believe are the ten most important questions for 2017.

Frontrunning: December 30

  • Russia Set to Expel 35 U.S. Diplomats in Tit-for-Tat (BBG)
  • Trump’s Plan to Partner With Russia Faces Bigger Hurdle (WSJ)
  • Trump could reverse effects of Obama order on Russia (Reuters)
  • Gold Lures Investors Worried About Trade Wars and Trump Tweets (BBG)
  • Syria truce backed by Russia, Turkey, holds but clashes reported (Reuters)

Frontrunning: December 28

  • Crude Rally Lifts Commodity Currencies; Bonds Rise: Markets Wrap (BBG)
  • Kerry Plans Middle East Speech as Israel Moves to Ease Tension (BBG)
  • Japan Looks to Smooth Over Past as New Threats Arise (WSJ)
  • Israel backs off East Jerusalem settlements (Reuters)
  • House Flipping Makes Comeback as Home Prices Rise (WSJ)

The Christmas Truce And The Future Of War

How widespread do you think it really was and do we make more of the Christmas Truce than we ought to because it’s so hopeful, in other words, it’s something we want to believe in? "...the threat that would be posed to the establishment, to the generals, and the politicians by having rank and file soldiers, sort of awakened to the idea of the preposterousness of the war."

Former CIA Spy Has A Christmas Message For Trump

"Dear Mr. Trump, I am among the tens of millions who voted for you, and also among the twenty thousand or so that spent fifteen months obsessively devoted to getting you elected. I went to bed in tears on election night, only to be woken at midnight by my wife to watch the miracle unfold..."

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Trump's Oil Price Dilemma

It looks like the president-elect is beginning to assemble a team to deliver on at least part of his campaign promises of 'An America First Energy Plan'. But Trump’s promised rise of oil and gas production over the years could have several consequences...

Will A Stronger Dollar Cause A Trade War With Europe?

Everyone and their dog in the marketplace realizes that an EMU (European Monetary Union) debt crisis before the German elections next Autumn could sink Chancellor Merkel. There is a deeper problem here. It is becoming clear that even beyond Europe’s election season, “monetary normalization” may well not be feasible.