Nomura

Papa John's Upgraded On Expectation Civil Unrest, Rioting Will Lead To More Pizza Deliveries

Who says that rioting is bad for business. According to KeyBanc analysts, the recent surge in civil unrest is just what Papa John's ordered, because the catalyst used to justify an upgrade of the pizza chain to overweight, is that consumers - worried about terrorism, political and civil unrest - will choose to stay home and order pizza rather than head out for a meal.

Lessons From The Worst Banking Crisis In History

A very reliable rule of thumb to keep in mind during (and before) a banking crisis: don’t trust anyone in the establishment, especially a politician. It’s good advice these days.. Europe’s banks and its governments are caught like two drunken sailors holding each other up.

 

Commerzbank To Cut Over 100 Bankers In NYC

Over the past few months we have witnessed massive cost cutting efforts (ie: firing of bankers) by many firms, Goldman, BAML, Nomura and RBS to name a few. Now it's time to add Commerzbank to the list of firms that need to fire people in order to try and cut enough costs to maintain earnings amid slumping revenues.

Global Stock Surge Continues As "Investors Look To Central Banks For Support"

Why the ongoing rally? A squeeze, sure, and also month-end fund flows. But the fundamental driver remains one and the same, and we quote Bloomberg: "the relief rally endures as Asian and European stocks rally with crude oil amid speculation policy makers will use stimulus to blunt the impact of the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union, including a pause in the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. Investors are looking to policy makers for support."

European Stocks, US Futures Extend Slide On UK Chaos, Pound Carnage

With global asset correlations once again approaching 1, overnight stocks have been trading in broadly "risk off" mode, following every twist of pound sterling and the rapidly deteriorating British financial situation as "chaos infects" virtually all markets, from China, to European banks, to US equity futures.  As a result of ongoing aftershocks from the Brexit vote, coupled with the sudden political chaos in UK politics, where both parties now seem in disarray, with the pound has extended its selloff to a fresh 31-year low dropping below the Friday lows while European equities are dropping to levels last seen in February.

Nomura Warns "Do Not Underestimate The Global Contagion" From Brexit

In a nutshell, Nomura expects the global impact of the Brexit to be more through the financial, confidence and psychology channels than simply through trade. Their warning is to not underestimate the depth and reach of global financial market contagion, which seems to have increased since 2008.

The Top 100 Hedge Funds Of 2016 According To Barron's

Here is the table of the Top 100 best performing hedge funds of 2016 ranked by their 3-year compound return, with an average return of 16.98% (ranging from 30% to 12%), outperforming the S&P's 3 year return of 15.13%.

Global Stocks Continue To Plunge As Central Banks Disappoint, Brexit Looms

Futures on the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, as U.S. equities are on track to extend losses for a sixth day.  Europe's Stoxx 600 fell to a four-month low, sliding 1% for its sixth decline in seven days, and U.S. crude retreated for a sixth day in the longest losing streak since February. Bond yields sank to records in Germany, Australia after Japan as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said next week’s U.K. vote on European Union membership was a factor in the decision to hold interest rates steady. The Yen surged more than 2% as the Bank of Japan refrained from adding any new stimulus,

Global Stocks Sharply Lower As Bond Yields Hit New Record Lows; Oil Slides Below $50

Global stocks, U.S. index futures are sharply lower pressured by fears of another day of record low bond yields, as investors start to worry about numerous risk catalysts in the coming weeks, from the Brexit vote to Fed meeting. The Dollar spot index rose for the second day in a row, pushing commodities lower for their first two-day decline since May 24, while WTI has dipped back under $50.

A Day In The Life Of Several Hundred Laid Off Nomura Traders

They made their way in dribs and drabs. Hundreds of displaced bankers, shuffling up Suffolk Lane to All Bar One and along Upper Thames Street toward the Folly, the only pubs in the City of London open that early on an overcast Tuesday morning. One group of traders was threatened with dismissal after being caught on closed-circuit TV stealing candy from a vending machine. The shell-shocked men and women sipping pints and consoling each other had become part of a growing population. Faced with a toxic blend of zero-interest rates, stiffer capital requirements and a collapse in trading revenue, banks have announced large cuts to their European operations in recent months.

 

Currency Wars Re-Escalate As Bank Of Korea Eases To Record Low Rate With Surprises Rate Cut

 With the 655th rate-cut globally since Lehman, the Bank of Korea stunned the market tonight and cut rates 25bps to 1.25% (a record low). Only 1 of 18 economists expected a rate cut as it appears record highs in US equities signal nothing about the underlying turmoil in the world's economy. After 6 straight days stronger (against the USD), the Won is sliding back above 1160 as it seems the currency wars are reigniting in AsiaPac...

Frontrunning: June 8

  • World stocks struggle to build on highs as Europe weighs (Reuters)
  • Oil hits eight-month high on disruptions, Chinese demand (Reuters)
  • Hillary Clinton Set for Democratic Nomination After Primary Wins (WSJ)
  • DNC avoids calling Clinton presumptive nominee (The Hill)
  • Trump, Rattled by Critics, Treads Carefully in Victory Speech (BBG)