Norges Bank

FX Week Ahead: Central Bank Credibility Slips Yet Again, Fed Up Next

The stand out risk event of the week is clearly the FOMC meeting and announcement on Wednesday, and the focus will be on whether the Fed are ready to balance out the odds of another 25bp hike on the table for this year. We know they are more comfortable in moving having prepared the market first, although we are close to 50/50 again, but only just. 

Bill Blain: "Last Person Leaving The Bond Markets Please Put Out The Lights"

When corporate bonds yield half a smidge more than govies despite their greater risk profile, and hi-yield issues return barely a tad over (when the junk indices are full of zombie over-indebted companies that will fold when rates rise), what’s the point investing in non-sovereign risk?

Norway’s Big Fish Story

The greatest consequences of Nordic socialism are how it instills a lack of courage and imagination when facing global problems. For such a system to work, people must be mostly compliant and amicable. Currently, Norway can manage the economic shift by drawing from The Fund but I would hope that they want to do more than just get by. It is obvious that betting on fish is a bad idea.

FX Week Ahead: Can The Swiss National Bank Breathe A Sigh Of Relief?

Having focused on the USD in recent weeks, and how the market has rounded on the greenback 'en masse', we can finally look to some exchange rate moves outside of the major spot rates.  Sharp losses in the CHF have shown that the big money is taking note of the recovery in the Euro zone, and that investment prospects look good as the smaller member states are gaining traction alongside the power house that is Germany. 

FX Week Ahead Preview: All Eyes On Payrolls Friday

Despite the NY market holiday over Independence day in the US, we have a number of notable data releases leading up to the main event next week in the May employment report (Friday).

One Trader Is Stunned By The "Staggering" Confusion In The Market

"The ability of people to string together utterly inconsistent arguments to describe what’s going on in markets, and the world for that matter, is staggering...what are manifesting themselves as quiet markets are actually highly unstable... "

Europe Slides For Third Day As Oil Attempts A Rebound; US Futures Flat

US equity futures were marginally in the red, while Asian markets rose and European stocks dropped. WTI oil rose 0.61% to $42.79 as some suggest the time to go long has arrived; oil tumbled 2.3% in the previous session. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent.

Key Events In The Coming Week: FOMC Minutes, GDP, BOC, OPEC And More

The key economic releases this week are the durable goods report and Q1 GDP revision on Friday. The minutes of the May FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: FOMC, Payrolls, 131 S&P Companies Report

Besides the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 2-3, and French & Italian politics - the decisive runoff round of the French election takes place this Sunday - this week's releases are dominated by US payrolls expected to come around 170k. The busy release calendar continues with Norges bank and RBA meetings as well as global manufacturing PMIs.

Global Stocks Soar To Record Highs On "Dovish" Fed, Dutch Vote

World stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday while the dollar traded close to a one-month low after the Federal Reserve hiked U.S. interest rates but signaled no pick-up in the pace of tightening, while the Dutch elections were broadly interpreted as a drop in support for Europe's anti-establishment powers.