Nouriel

Nouriel Roubini's "Good, Bad, & Ugly" Scenarios For The Global Economy

The IMF, which in recent years had characterized global growth as the “new mediocre,” recently upgraded its World Economic Outlook, but are they right to think that the recent growth spurt will continue over the next few years, or is a temporary cyclical upswing about to be subdued by new tail risks?

Weekend Reading: They're Baaaccckkk!

"With cash levels at the lowest level since 1997, and equity allocations near the highest levels since 1999 and 2007... investors are now functionally 'all in'..."

'Dr.Doom' Warns "The Gap Between Wall And Main Street Is Widening... Correction Is Inevitable"

"Yes, inflation is low, and corporate profits and stock markets are soaring. But the gap between Wall Street and Main Street is widening. High market valuations that are fueled by liquidity and irrational exuberance do not reflect fundamental economic realities. An eventual market correction is inevitable. The only question is whom Trump will blame when it happens."

Weekend Reading: Yellen Lets Doves Fly

The problem for the Fed remains the rising risk of a monetary policy error against a backdrop of an over valued, over leveraged and overly bullish financial market. Historically such combinations have tended not to turn out well.