OPEC

Why Goldman Is No Longer Buying The Oil Bounce

One month ago there was some confusion when Goldman released a report in which it cut its 2017 oil price forecast due to expectations of slower market rebalancing, while at the same time boosting it near-term crude price projections due to short-term supply disruptions. To be sure, the media - and the market - focused only on the latter part while ignoring the former. To address this confusion, Goldman another report in which it explained why the firm is not "buying" the oil rally, and why it is time to focus on the big picture, one which Goldman does not find particularly optimistic.

Global Stocks Plunge; US Futures, Oil Slide As Brexit Fears "Jolt Markets"

Right now it is all about the immediate fate of the UK, and as Bloomberg explains the "jolted markets" and overnight plunge in global risk assets, "growing anxiety over the prospect of the U.K. exiting the European Union dominated financial markets, sending global stocks down for a third day and the British pound to an eight-week low while boosting demand for havens such as the yen and gold."

What Makes Venezuela Different

A state that controls the economy also has the power to loot it. But, there is a big difference between redistributing wealth and destroying everyone who attempts to create some of it. In order to redistribute wealth, you have to make it first. This is a distinction that the leaders of the Venezuela regime (and their supporters) have apparently long been too foolish to understand. For this, the people of Venezuela are paying a heavy price.

"Clinton Nemesis" Klayman Comes To Trump's Defense: "Trump Right About Judicial Bias And Prejudice"

"Those who criticize Trump or others who see the world for what it is, and attack them for raising important issues about the judicial bias and prejudice that permeates our federal judiciary in particular, are not being honest with the American people. Our federal legal system and its judiciary is politicized, frequently intellectually dishonest and in some quarters even totally corrupt."

Iran Oil Exports Soar As Offshore Tanker Armada Comes To Tehran's Rescue

More than 25 European and Asian-owned supertankers are shipping Iranian oil, data seen by Reuters shows, allowing Tehran to ramp up exports much faster than analysts had expected following the lifting of sanctions in January. Iran was struggling as recently as April to find partners to ship its oil, but after an agreement on a temporary insurance fix more than a third of Iran's crude shipments are now being handled by foreign vessels.

Venezuelan Woman Shot In The Face After 500 Looters Storm Food Warehouse

A Venezuelan woman died on Monday after being shot in the face when looters raided state food warehouses in the latest unrest in Venezuela. When security forces chased some of the crowd after they broke in, "they jumped down a bank to protect themselves, and a policeman who was pursuing them shot her. They shot her in the face."

Does Iran Have The Upper Hand In OPEC Oil War

The fight between the two for supremacy in the Middle East region is unlikely to end anytime soon. Currently, supply outages to the tune of 3.5 million b/d are supporting the oil prices by creating a balance between demand and supply. Once Nigeria, Libya, and Canada resume pumping at their normal levels, the effects of the struggle between Iran and Saudi Arabia will be felt. If both increase production, the world will be awash with oil, pulling prices back to the mid $30/barrel levels.

Futures Flat Following Friday's Jobs Fiasco: All Eyes On Yellen Again

Every ugly jobs report has a silver lining, and sure enough following Friday's disastrous jobs report, global mining and energy companies rallied alongside commodities after the jobs data crushed speculation the Fed would raise interest rates this month.  “The disappointing U.S. jobs report on Friday means that a summer Fed rate hike is off the table,” said Jens Pedersen, a commodities analyst at Danske Bank. “That has reversed the upwards trend in the dollar, supporting commodities on a broader basis. The market will look for confirmation in Yellen’s speech later today.”

Oil Tumbles After Rig Count Surges By Most Since Dec 2015

Just as we expected, based on lagged oil prices, the US oil rig count rose this week. The oil rig count rose 9 to 325 - the biggest increase since Dec 2015. This is the second week in a row with no decline in rigs as the market's self-defeating fears of a production resurgence drive oil prices lower on the news.

Futures Flat Ahead Of Strike-Impacted Jobs Report; Commodities Approach Bull Market

After yesterday's two key events, the ECB and OPEC meetings, ended up being major duds, the market is looking at the week's final and perhaps most important event of the week: the May payrolls report to generate some upward volatility and help stocks finally break out of the range they have been caught in for over a year.