People's Bank Of China

Chinese Capital Outflows Return As Soon As PBOC Halts FX Intervention

Although the PBOC reported that in September official central bank reserves rose by $17 billion to $3.109 tn , according to the latest SAFE data released overnight, after the first, and only month of inflows in three years, outflows have again returned for a total of $7bn in September (vs. net inflows of +US$9bn in Aug), in light of the recently relaxed FX forward rule

China Launches Yuan-Ruble Payment System

China and Russia are continuing to shift away from dollar-based trade, and converging on commerce which will eventually be backstopped by gold, or what is gradually emerging as an Eastern gold standard.

S&P Downgrades China To A+ From AA- Due To Soaring Debt Growth

"The downgrade reflects our assessment that a prolonged period of strong credit growth has increased China's economic and financial risks. Since 2009, claims by depository institutions on the resident nongovernment sector have increased rapidly. The increases have often been above the rate of income growth."

When A "Black Swan" Will No Longer Do: China Warns Beware The "Gray Rhino"

In surprisingly stark commentary, China issued a warning that the economy finds itself in a backdrop of growing enterprise debt, an overheating real estate market, and overcapacity in such sectors as low-end manufacturing, and cautioned investors that a "gray rhino" may be coming.

Global Stocks Rise As Oil Rebounds; Yuan Soars

S&P futures are little changed this morning, while Asian shares rise and European stocks (+0.5%) are poised to snap a five-day losing streak amid a broad-based rally. The pound declined as better-than-expected manufacturing data failed to offset political risk before the impending election, while crude oil gained.

What Is Causing China's Yield Curves To Invert: UBS Answers

The inverted curve reflects a contradiction between market expectations on policies and economic fundamentals. On one hand, the slowdown of economic growth may prevent the back end of the yield curve from further going up. On the other hand, financial institutions' funding costs have kept rising but the financing costs for the real economy measured by loan rates have not risen that much.

China Eases Capital Controls As Dollar Weakens

China's central bank has relaxed some of the curbs on cross-border capital outflows it put in place just months ago to shore up the yuan currency. As of last week, the PBOC is no longer demanding that banks match outflows with equal inflows

Beijing Responds To Trump Charge China Is A "Grand Champion At Currency Manipulation"

"China has no intention of seeking foreign trade advantages via an intentional devaluation of the renminbi. There is no basis for the continued devaluation of the renminbi" but "If you must attach the label 'grand champion' to China, then I think China is a grand champion. But we are the grand champions of economic development."

Chinese Banks Begin To Raise Mortgage Rates

In the latest tightening in China's financial conditions, the China Securities Journal reports that some bank branches in Beijing, Guangzhou and Chongqing have raised mortgage rates for first-home buyers recently.