Personal Income

2 Charts That Might Define The Fed's Jerome Powell Era

"We expect financial imbalances to become their biggest worry, bigger than the risk of recession, which should matter less and less to the central bankers’ reputations as the business cycle expansion continues to lengthen..."

America's Military-Industrial Addiction

"...the dreaded Military-Industrial Complex isn’t just a shadowy cabal manipulating policies against the will of the American people... Instead, the military and the vast economic network it feeds presents a far more 'complex' issue that involves millions of self-interested Americans just as Eisenhower predicted..."

Global Stocks, US Futures Slide As Tax Bill Chaos Erupts In The Senate

Markets were thrown for a loop in the past 24 hours, with the Dow first soaring nearly 400 points on Thursday on expectations that tax reform was a done deal, when drama emerged just after the close when the Senate tax bill came this close to falling apart when the proposed "Trigger" was ruled as invalid, pushing a Thursday vote to this morning, and sending global stocks sliding over concerns of its passage.

Dow Hits Record 24,000, Europe Jumps As Euphoria Returns After Tech Rout

Despite a Wednesday dive in high-flying U.S. tech stocks on worries their boom may have peaked following a MS downgrade, which presured Asian stocks leading to a slide in Hong Kong and South Korean share, on Thursday morning the dip buyers have emerged and both European stocks and US equity futures are once again solidly in the green as yesterday's tech selloff is quickly forgotten.

Key Events In The Coming Week: Senate Tax Vote; Euro Inflation; GDP; OPEC, Fed Speakers

It's a busy week as traders return from the long Thanksgiving holiday, with inflation releases in the Eurozone and Japan. We'll also get the second estimate of US GDP, housing data and ISM manufacturing, UK monetary aggregates and PMIs in China. Finally, the Russia-OPEC meeting takes place in Vienna on November 30, while the Senate hearing of Fed chair nominee Powell and Yellen's testimony before Congress will be closely watched.

FX Weekly Preview: EUR Bursts Higher Again As Year-End Call For 1.2000 Return

If we do push past 1.2000 next week, sellers will be looking to fade this on some of these factors, and we also have to factor in the Dec Fed hike, which is an opportunity for the FOMC not to miss as normalisation is still very much on the agenda, albeit slightly more gradual than before.