Gold prices closed on Obama's inauguration day at $857.25 per ounce. Exactly 12 months later on January 20th, 2010, gold had risen to $1,111.05/oz for a gain of nearly 30% in the first year after Obama’s inauguration.
Only a few days after Trump’s inauguration ceremony, the U.S. National Debt will creep across the important psychological barrier of $20 trillion. It’s a problem that’s been passed down to him, but it certainly puts the incoming administration in a difficult place.
It is premature to make investment decisions based on rhetoric and threats. It is also possible that much of this bluster could simply be the opening bid in what is a peaceful renegotiation of global trade agreements. Regardless, we must pay close attention as trade conflicts and their consequences can escalate quickly.
Contrary to some media, Prince was no crazy “gold bug” or “Scrooge McDuck” who was “hoarding” gold for Armageddon. Prince’s hard asset portfolio had an allocation to gold of about 2% of his overall portfolio.
European and Asian shares, the dollar and crude all rose before President-elect Donald Trump’s first press conference since July at 11am on Wednesday, while S&P futures are little changed. Surging raw-materials stocks sent Asian stocks higher. Oil rebounds from the lowest level in a month.
Global stocks were fractionally lower in early European trading, closed Asia mixed, while S&P futures were unchanged, as the dollar fell for a second day on concerns ahead of Trump's press conference on Wednesday. Oil rebounded after its Monday plunge, while commodity metals like iron ore rose limit up in Chinese trading.
"I remember the first time I ever saw a $100 bill. I was dumbfounded. It was more money than I had ever seen in my young life.... $100 could practically pay the rent in a lot of places back in the 80s. That’s obviously no longer the case...$100 simply isn’t the awe-inspiring symbol of wealth that it used to be. And that’s because of inflation."
If we refuse to recognize the high utility value of USD and its global ease of flow, then we will continue to misunderstand the demand for the dollar and its appreciation. Bitcoin is quite different from the USD but it, too, has unique characteristics that drive its demand and thus its valuation.
The price of Bitcoin seems to have briefly exceeded the price of gold for the first time this week; however, this comparison is completely arbitrary. Gold remains the only true global money with a size and volatility comparable to that of fiat currency.
– Gold gains in USD, GBP, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY – Gold gains in CNY, INR & most emerging market currencies – Gold surges 31.5% in British pounds after Brexit shock – Gold acted as hedge and safe haven in 2016 … for those who need safe haven
Beware the commodity "black swans" in 2017, at least according to Barclays. The British bank warns that raw materials markets from oil to metals face the a high likelihood of disruptions, which among, other include a default by Venezuela, riots in Chile, a trade war with China, more terrorism in Turkey, and even a Fukushima-type disaster in China.