Precious Metals

Since China devalued the Yuan and surprised the world's carry traders (and central planners) by stirring up FX volatility, the demand for 'paper' gold has begun converging to the demand for physical precious metals. Gold prices are now up over $100 since August 10th, but it is another (easier to 'transport') alternative currency that has soared. Bitcoin has spike post-China-devaluation (since dipping on 'governance' concerns), accelerating from under $200 to almost $300 today, and up 25% since our September 2 explanation why China's capital account crackdown is "great news" for bitcoin.

Butler believes that since the end of the Bretton Woods monetary system, there is a strong case for having higher allocations to physical gold. He warns of the risk inherent in gold ETFs due to the levels of legal indemnifications.

Consumer debt culture has completely and utterly taken over the West.

That's not supposed to happen...

The ‘money’ in your account doesn’t even really exist. There’s just enough of a thin layer of confidence in the system (at the moment) that this is a widely accepted practice. It seems rather strange when you think about it. Though for thousands of years, early civilizations had some pretty wild ideas about money. There are examples from history of our ancestors using everything from animals skins, to salt, to giant stones, as their form of ‘money’. Though we suppose these weren’t any more ridiculous than our version of money - pieces of paper that don’t even really exist, controlled by unelected central bankers.

Gold can be useful as a hedge against inflation but it's been consistently so only in the long run.

After yesterday's dramatic late day market rout catalyzed by the tumble in the biotech sector in general, and Valeant in particular, and foreseen in its entirety by Gartman who went bullish just hours before, this morning US equity futures and European stocks have recouped some losses on the recursive, and traditional, hope that Mario Draghi will say something to push risk higher when he speaks in 2 hours at the ECB's press conference in Malta. And yet, just like Yellen a month ago, Draghi faces the paradox of reflexivity that after years of being ignored, is the "new thing" in town: how does he intervene and demonstrate he is readier than ever to set up stimulus, without panicking investors over euro area’s health.

If you’re sophisticated and have a bit of luck, you could end holding your gold exposure at zero or even make a profit.

Anecdotal evidence from press reports, survey data and positioning data all agree on one point: very few people believe that the recent rally could actually be for real. With a pullback underway, we now have a chance to judge its nature – this should soon tell us if the recent rally was just another fluke or if it retains the potential to become a more sustained advance.

The weaker US dollar, the probability of near-zero interest rates for the remainder of the year and a seasonal increase in demand is underpinning the positive potential for gold.

In the early 2000’s, I began to advise friends and associates that much of the world would likely be entering a depression before the decade was out.

Free trade, as a matter of practicality, can only exist where all trade partners exist on a perfectly “level playing field”

Some initial weakness in precious metals after China reported its data last night gave way to a very narro wrang trade until the US morning began to going. At the ubiquitous 8amET witching hour, Gold (and silver) ramped notably (on modest volume) as crude and copper lost ground... but as soon as US markets opened, the precious metals mashing began and both silver and gold are back below China GDP levels (with both breaking back below their 200DMA)

Gold price suppression! The amount of ink spilled on this topic could fill a supertanker.  Goldbugs the world over believe in the suppression story as an article of faith, and indeed, the evidence that “something is happening” appears incontrovertible.