“Instead of pricing equities off this fragile state of earnings, look at valuations compared to revenue, which cannot be manipulated. This should give a better metric of how overvalued the equity market currently is.” With that, it would seem to be high time to don your rose-colored glasses...
In short, the U.S. economy may never reach “escape velocity” unless it is first allowed to crash. It has been too larded up and larded over with debt for any real sustainable growth to take root. More evidence, to this effect, was revealed this week.
When Dr. Lisa Bardack was asked to become Hillary Clinton’s personal physician in 2001, it had to have been a crowning moment in the career of the Mt. Kisco internist. Dr. Bardack could have anticipated little downside... Unfortunately, Hillary Clinton corrupts everyone who serves her.
"...what makes today’s Washington Post editorial so remarkable, such a tour de force, is that the editors are literally calling for the criminal prosecution of one of the most important sources in their own newspaper’s history. Having basked in the glory of awards and accolades, and benefited from untold millions of clicks, the editorial page editors of the Post now want to see the source who enabled all of that be put in an American cage and branded a felon. That is warped beyond anything that can be described."
In short, the economic model of the second half of the 20th century is over. Increased issuances of debt no longer translate into increased economic growth. Instead, they produce wild asset price swings, casino style speculation, and epic bubbles and busts. Nonetheless, the technocrats continue offering up yesterday’s solutions with unabashed certainty.
One week after Dr. Drew Pinsky said, on his HLN show, that he is "Gravely concerned" about Hillary Clinton's health, CNN executive vice president Ken Jautz announced Thursday that "Dr. Drew and I have mutually agreed to air the final episode of his show on September 22."
In what's been aptly described as the "cultural libertarian" movement, young millennials from a variety of backgrounds have united based on a fervent disdain for those that believe there are boundaries to what’s deemed “acceptable” speech - a hatred of authority; and a love of freedom and mischief.
Board-certified medicine specialist and TV personality Dr. Drew Pinsky has come out and said that he is “gravely concerned” about presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s health, pointing out that treatment she is receiving could be the result of her bizarre behaviors.
Just as there’s a scheme to pay old investors with new investors money (aka a Ponzi.) There’s another part of the scheme that rarely gets talked about: i.e.,The narrative that fuels the scheme to begin with.Much like the original structure which involves money, this too needs an ever-growing amount of gullible, willing participants. However, the currency here is narrative.
People are assuming there’s only one way to fight a war today of global proportions. We're not in that camp. We believe it will come monetarily – not military. At least at first. For once it takes place all bets are off as to what happens next.The obvious first mover advantage for China (and all its current allies) would be to use the rhetoric coming out of the current U.S. political arena, along with current, as well as proposed monetary policies via the Fed, ECB, and Japan.
As far as we can tell, U.S. Treasury investors suffer the same cognitive dissonance that the broad U.S. populace takes with them to the shore each July 4th as they celebrate Independence.They believe they live in the greatest country ever conceived. They believe they experience more freedom, opportunity, and prosperity than their cohorts in other nations. They believe their system of government provides for their representation. Yet at the same time they sense that something’s off.
"Our attention has been diverted. China has embarked on a stealth devaluation of the renminbi. Its new trade-weighted currency basket has fallen 10% since just before its initial August 2015 devaluation (white line in chart below) and it has continued to decline since January even as the Rmb/dollar has stabilised."
Remember, bad news is good news. But don’t forget, good news is bad news. Alas, this is how capital is apparently efficiently allocated to its highest and best use in the year 2016. Surely, there must be a Darwin Award for this grand achievement.
In “The Valley” the last 7 or 8 years has seen a morphing of true business fundamentals into a place of pure financially adulterated fantasy. Here is where the story changed from “Something built that customers love and will pay for," into “Build something that can give the illusion VC’s want to see and hear so they can pay for the right to then sell that illusion to Wall Street and we all get rich.” True business metrics or morals be damned.