Private Equity

Frontrunning: September 30

  • Asia stocks slide as Deutsche sours mood, oil pulls back (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Drops to Record as Some Clients Reduce Exposure (BBG)
  • Deutsche CEO tries to reassure staff as shares plunge (Reuters)
  • Oil falls as investors cash in on OPEC deal rally, dollar rises (Reuters)
  • Three Chinese fishermen killed in confrontation with South Korea coastguard (Reuters)

Wall Street Goes "All In" For Hillary Clinton

The U.S. economy is totally rigged. While in the past, you were expected to take on a great deal of risk to earn an outsized return, most large returns these days have been gamed to such and extent that they amount to riskless schemes through which the U.S. taxpayer funnels money upward to a handful of oligarchs. Hillary will unquestionably keep this system in place. Trump, we just don’t know. This is why the real players Wall Street want Hillary. They want the riskless pillaging of society to continue uninterrupted. As usual, money talks.

Are You Ready For The Next Recession?

The good news for economic prosperity and freedom is that the failure of the grand experimenters next time to ignite asset price inflation early on in any incipient economic upturn might lead to their dismissal (if not effected earlier!).

How Low Oil Prices Failed To Stimulate The Economy

The 2014 plunge in oil prices was initially hoped to provide stimulus to the U.S. economy, with the Fed arguing that the average household would save $700 in fuel costs. A new paper from the Brookings Institution suggests otherwise.

US Futures; Euro Stocks Slide On Deutsche Bank Liquidity Fears; Bonds Bid

Following yesterday's paradoxical US stock surge catalyzed by a bevy of bad macroeonomic news, the overnight session has seen some good old "risk off" mood which hit European shares as a result of the previously reported $14 billion DOJ claim against Deutsche Bank, which sent Europe's biggest bank tumbling, dragging the banking sector lower, while a continued drop in the price of oil pushed energy companies lower.

The Status Quo vs. Donald Trump

"...the corrupt status quo of both useless political parties are making a huge calculated error by coming together so publicly against Trump. By rallying so aggressively and passionately around Hillary Clinton, the worst of the worst from America’s oligarchy have succeeded in the impossible. They have made a billionaire reality tv star look like a counter culture iconoclast."

Global Market Rout Abates As Bond Selloff Pauses, Oil Rebounds

After a sudden rout in financial markets that wiped $2 trillion in global market cap over the past week showed signs of easing, overnight stocks tried to stage another "BTFD-type" comeback with European stocks climbing for the first time in five days as oil and metals prices gained. S&P futures were modestly in green, although they faded earlier gains, on the back of a slide in the USDJPY which initially spiked to 103.31 only to fade back to the mid 102-range.

"Global Market Rout" - Bond Selloff Snowballs Into Stock Liquidations On "Stimulus Pullback" Fears

With traders in the US arriving at their desks, the global selling appears to be accelerating and as Bloomberg notes, "a selloff in fixed income is starting to snowball into a global market rout" driven by what Reuters dubbed "growing concerns that global central banks' commitment to the post-crisis orthodoxy of super-low interest rates and asset purchase programs may be waning."

Frontrunning: September 9

  • German jitters weigh on stocks, ECB doubts lift yields (Reuters)
  • Chinese Billionaire Linked to Giant Aluminum Stockpile in Mexican Desert (WSJ)
  • Monte dei Paschi CEO to be replaced as cash call looms (Reuters)
  • German exports plummet in July, hit trade surplus (MW)
  • North Korea conducts fifth and largest nuclear test (Reuters)
  • Hedge Fund and Cybersecurity Firm Team Up to Short-Sell Device Maker (NYT)

For The First Time, Two European Non-Financial Companies Will Be Paid To Issue Debt

Today was another historic day in the monetary twilight zone that is Europe, when two large European, non-financial companies were the first in history to be paid by investors to borrow, courtesy of the ECB's corporate debt monetization program, which has unleashed an unprecedented scramble for frontrunning the central bank's purchases of corporate debt and a historic collapse in bond spreads.

Bank of America "Thinks The Unthinkable"

"The unthinkable: BB yields about to become negative. Such has been Draghi’s influence across the whole credit market that we are close to seeing our first negative yielding BB-rated bond. But if debt costs for speculative grade companies become “inverted”, then the economics of LBOs will be transformed, and the quality of the assets they are buying will become secondary. We see a growing risk that another private equity cycle emerges in Europe."

Want "Unlimited Access To A Target's Mobile Devices... Leaving No Trace"? Ask NSO Group

For the affordable price of $650,000, Israeli company NSO Group will enable you to invisibly spy on 10 iPhone owners without their knowledge. The cost is a little higher for Blackberry users (5 for $500,000).. and there is a 17% maintenance fee every thereafter to ensure "leaving no traces whatsoever." Welcome to the new world of private companies selling surveillance tools to the 'average joe'...