Private Equity

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"On The Cusp Of A Staggering Default Wave": Energy Intelligence Issues Apocalyptic Warning For The Energy Sector

The US E&P sector could be on the cusp of massive defaults and bankruptcies so staggering they pose a serious threat to the US economy. Without higher oil and gas prices — which few experts foresee in the near future — an over-leveraged, under-hedged US E&P industry faces a truly grim 2016.  "I could see a wave of defaults and bankruptcies on the scale of the telecoms, which triggered the 2001 recession."

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Frontrunning: November 25

  • European stocks up, oil slides as concerns ease over Russia-Turkey tension (Reuters)
  • ECB discusses two-tiered bank charges, broader bond buys (Reuters)
  • New agonies, alliances as Fed debates post-liftoff plan (Reuters)
  • A New Military Power Rises in the Mideast, Courtesy of One Man (BBG)
  • Russia's Gazprom says halts gas supplies to Ukraine over payment (Reuters)
  • Other central banks set to act, but Swiss policy cupboard bare (Reuters)
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"How Is This Possible" Deutsche Bank Asks, Looking At The Canary In The Junk Bond Mine

"The hardest questions we are trying to reconcile here are how is that possible to see all these signs of weakness under the surface being balanced by very strong equity markets and upbeat employment picture. One of these sides has to be wrong..."

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Frontrunning: November 23

  • Brussels on Edge as Lockdown Continues (WSJ)
  • Stocks Pare Decline as Crude Oil Erases Drop on Saudi Comments (BBG)
  • Italy’s Eni Plans to Pump Arctic Oil, After Others Abandon the Field (WSJ)
  • Treasuries Decline as Economists Say GDP to Be Revised Higher (BBG)
  • Why the Housing Rebound Hasn’t Lifted the U.S. Economy Much (WSJ)
  • Argentina Fever Is Back for Investors as Kirchner Rival Triumphs (BBG)
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Exposed – The Clinton Foundation Is Running A $20 Million Private Equity Firm In Colombia

Government and consumer watchdog groups have raised concerns about the ties between the Clinton Foundation, Canadian billionaire businessman Frank Giustra and the nation of Colombia. A charitable foundation running a private equity fund is "not something one hears about commonly" and is "very concerning," according to one watchdog group who say the practice is unusual and could pose a significant conflict of interest.

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Frontrunning: November 17

  • France, Russia strike Islamic State in Syria, EU aid invoked (Reuters)
  • Pressure Grows for Global Response Against Islamic State After Paris Attacks (WSJ)
  • Weakened Hollande Faces Election Backlash in Wake of Attacks (BBG)
  • French Official Calls for Metal Detectors at Train Stations (NYT)
  • Belgium Raises Terror Threat Level, Cancels Soccer Game vs Spain (BBG)
  • Foreign Companies Scrap Paris Events After Terror Attacks (BBG)
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Frontrunning: November 16

  • Belgian Police 'Arrest' Public Enemy No.1 (Sky News)
  • France Widens Crackdown at Home as Bombs Rain on Islamic State (BBG)
  • Putin Goes From G-20 Pariah to Player at Obama Turkey Talk (BBG)
  • Paris Attacks: 150 Raids as France Goes to 'War With Terrorism' (NBC)
  • 'Rocket Launcher Found' In French Police Raids (Sky)
  • Geopolitical worries lift oil after Paris attacks, but glut weighs (Reuters)
  • Japan's economy falls back into recession again (BBC)
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The Stench Of Freddie Mac Is Back - An $18 Billion Spree Of Crony Capitalist Thievery

Washington’s capacity to foster crony capitalist larceny and corruption never ceases to amaze. But as we recently noted, Wall Street’s shameless thievery from US taxpayers is about to get a whole new definition.

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Son Of Billionaire Steel Magnate Plunges To His Death Amid Demise Of UK Industry

He built the world's fastest road-legal car. He produced a classic British gangster flick. And he fell to his death on Sunday amid the global deflationary supply glut.

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Frontrunning: November 6

  • Dollar at three-month high as payrolls paralysis sets in (Reuters)
  • 5 Things to Watch in the October Jobs Report (WSJ)
  • China to Lift Ban on IPOs (WSJ)
  • ArcelorMittal Is Latest Victim of China's Steel-Export Glut (BBG)
  • 'Hope to see you again': China warship to U.S. destroyer after South China Sea patrol (Reuters)
  • Giants Tighten Grip on Internet Economy (WSJ)
  • Questions Surround Valeant CEO Pearson (WSJ)
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Subprime Auto Goes Full-Retard: Lender Sells $154 Million ABS Deal Backed By Loans To Borrowers With No Credit

Remember Skopos Financial, the US subprime auto lender run by Santander Consumer veterans? Well, in a testament to just how desperate America is to perpetuate the US auto market "renaissance," the company just sold $154 millon worth of paper to investors partially backed by loans to borrowers with no credit score.

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"For Every Job Created In The US This Decade, US Corporations Spent $296,000 On Stock Buybacks"

Yesterday in "$20 Trillion In Government Bonds Yield Under 1%: The Stunning Facts How We Got There", we did just that: showed several "facts" demonstrating how, as Bloomberg puts it this morning, "QE Helped Wall Street Steamroll Main Street." It appears many missed the findings of how central planning has now gone full retard, so here again, are the facts...

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$20 Trillion In Government Bonds Yield Under 1%: The Stunning Facts How We Got There

  • There have been 606 global rate cuts since LEH
  • $12.4 trillion of central bank asset purchases (QE) since Bear Stearns
  • The Fed is operating a zero rate policy for the longest period ever (even exceeding the WW2 Aug’37-Sep’42 zero rate period)
  • $6.3 trillion global government bonds currently yielding <0%
  • $20.0 trillion global government bonds currently yielding <1%
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Frontrunning: October 29

  • Fed puts December rate hike firmly on the agenda (Reuters)
  • Charting the Markets: A More Hawkish Fed Rattles Investors (BBG)
  • China to modernize and improve fiscal and tax systems (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank to Cut 35,000 Jobs in Overhaul (WSJ)
  • Deutsche Bank Said to Near $200 Million Sanctions Settlement (BBG)
  • Barclays profits drop as it abandons cost-cutting targets (FT)
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Frontrunning: October 23

  • China's central bank cuts rates for sixth time since November (Reuters)
  • Global stocks hit two-month high on dovish Draghi message (Reuters)
  • $6.5 Billion in Energy Writedowns and We're Just Getting Started (BBG)
  • Alphabet, formerly Google, sets share buyback, shares jump (Reuters)
  • Hurricane Patricia, Stronger Than Katrina, Nears Mexico (BBG)
  • TVA Cleared to Start First New U.S. Nuclear Power Plant in Nearly 20 Years (WSJ)
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