Private Equity

The Stage Has Been Set For The Next Financial Crisis

"We are in a multidimensional and fully internationalized carry trade game, folks, which means there is a very serious and tangible risk pool sitting just below the surface across world’s largest insurance companies, pensions funds and banks, the so-called 'mandated' undertakings..."

Why Australia's Economy Is A House Of Cards

"For over a quarter of a century our economy mostly grew because of dumb luck... As a whole, the Australian economy has grown through a property bubble inflating on top of a mining bubble, built on top of a commodities bubble, driven by a China bubble....Unfortunately for Australia, that “lucky” free ride is just about to end..."

Activists, Including Cerberus, Take 6.9% Stake In Deutsche Bank

It seems that investors, including Cerberus, are unhappy with the strategy Deutsche's CEO, John Cryan, is pursuing and the pace at which benefits are impacting the DB’s P&L. We don’t blame them and the pressure on Cryan is about to ratchet up dramatically.

Goldman's Top Strategist Reveals The Two Biggest Risks To The Market Today

"We’ve also seen a growing allocation of retail and institutional money into “premium chasing” quant strategies, including, for example, ETFs that sell equity vol. I think many of these developments are positive, but the associated market structure remains largely untested. So I would not rule out the risk of a glitch that triggers, say, a 5-10% correction."

What Could Go Wrong?

"As the late Joseph Goebbels used to say describing his misinformation technique, if you’re going to lie, make sure it’s a whopper..."

Paradise Papers: Massive New Leak Exposes Tax-Haven Secrets, Links Wilbur Ross To Russia

A huge new leak of offshore tax-haven documents dubbed the "Paradise Papers", reveals again how the ultra-wealthy, including the Queen's private estate, secretly invest vast amounts of cash in offshore tax havens. They also reveal that Trump's commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, is shown to have a stake in a firm dealing with Russians sanctioned by the US.

NY Fed President Bill Dudley Retiring

Late on Saturday evening, CNBC's Steve Liesman reported that Fed vice chairman Bill Dudley, a former Goldman managing director and chief economist, not to mention a key figure in "the unprecedented government response to the financial crisis", is expected to announce his retirement as soon as next week.