Private Equity

Energy, Money, And The Destruction Of Equilibrium

"No matter what the economic leaders say, these actions prove to me and many others that their mental models of the world have failed. They’re able to hide behind authority and academic vocabulary which if put in plain terms for the lay person could be described as theft, ponzi, tyrannical and moronic."

Number Of Distressed US Retailers Highest Since The Great Recession

"Moody's-rated US retailers rated Caa or Ca today make up just over 13% of our total rated retail portfolio, which is the highest level since the Great Recession.  As they struggle to survive, distressed retailers can take more desperate measures, including highly promotional pricing that can border on irrational.  This leaves stronger firms with the choice of either competing in a race to the bottom, or giving up sales in order to preserve margin."

Frontrunning: February 24

  • Futures drop along with oil prices (Reuters)
  • The U.S. Is the World’s Third-Best Equity Market Since 1900 (BBG)
  • U.S. Talks With Mexico Clouded by Mixed Message (WSJ)
  • A Tea Party for the left? Liberals hope so (Reuters)
  • Kushner, Ivanka Trump Block Attack on Paris Pact (WSJ)
  • Saudi Arabia’s Oil Wealth Is About to Get a Reality Check (BBG)

Meet China's Hedge Fund Capital

Hedge funds didn't exist in the world's second-largest economy five years ago...Now they have their own private village.

Frontrunning: February 13

  • 'Trump trades' on boost to economic growth come back with a bang (Reuters)
  • Trump's national security adviser Flynn trying to survive crisis (Reuters)
  • White House Is Sifting Options on Immigration Ban (WSJ)
  • North Korean Nuclear Ambitions to Be Defining Issue for Trump (BBG)
  • Netanyahu opposes Palestinian state, Israeli minister says ahead of U.S. visit (Reuters)
  • Speed Limits on Trump’s Infrastructure Drive: Federal Laws, Rare Species and Nimbys (WSJ)

Global Stocks Rise, S&P Futures Make New Record Highs As "Trump Trade" Euphoria Returns

European and Asian stocks, S&P futures, bond yields, the dollar and commodity metals are rose, in some cases making new all time highs, lifted by the latest reemergence of the "Trump trades" as hopeful investors once again bet that the U.S. president's tax reform plans will boost economic growth and corporate profits, despite another warning from Goldman that the president's fiscal plan is about to be derailed.

Global Stocks, US Futures Rise Despite Growing Political Tension In Europe

In a relatively quiet session, which may see US traders sleep in a bit after last night's Superbowl thriller, European and Asian shares rose ahead of Mario Draghi’s testimony at the European Parliament, while US equity futures were fractionally higher (up 0.1% to 2,293) after stocks jumped the most in a week, as traders assessed the trajectory for interest rates while scrutinizing every new Trump tweet.

Dollar Slide Accelerates After Fed Fails To Boost Confidence, Pressures US Futures

European shares and S&P futures fell amid mixed earnings from corporate heavyweights, while Asian stocks were fractionally higher. The dollar slump continued against all its major peers after the Federal Reserve gave dollar bulls little to be optimistic about.  The U.S. currency dropped toward the lowest close since November after the Fed reiterated its intention on Wednesday to lift rates only gradually.