With China on holiday, overnight sessions remain relatively quiet: at this moment, S&P500 futures are little changed as European stocks fall for first day in seven, on yesterday's concern that the ECB is moving toward tightening monetary policy; Asian indices rose slightly for third day. WTI climbs to $49.40, the highest since June 30 after yesterday's surprisingly large API crude draw report.
For the hedge fund of Crispin Odey, the endgame may have arrived: his bets are predicated on a collapse of Japanese bond prices, a surge in the price of gold and immolation of equities. "If it works he may make hundreds of millions of dollars for his clients. If wrong his fund may not survive."
BOJ governor Kuroda has ruined his chances of getting a second full term, according to Nobuyuki Nakahara, who has advised the prime minister on the economy and was an intellectual father of Japan's QE. "They are trying to clean up the mess of negative rates. It’s impossible to do a stupid thing like keeping the yield curve under government control."
Sterling gold rose 1.3% today as sterling slumped again after the UK set a March deadline to start their 'Brexit divorce' proceedings from the European Union and on deepening nervousness regarding a 'Hard Brexit'.
The Fed argues that low rates have worked. The economy emerged from recession. Unemployment drifted back down. “Yay for us,” said the Fed. Don't buy that statistical economic garbage.The economy recovered in spite of Fed policy, not because of it.
"In a looping debate rant, Mr. Trump argued that an increasingly “political” Fed is holding interest rates low to help Democrats in November, driving up a “big, fat, ugly bubble” that will pop when the central bank raises rates. This riff has some truth to it... The stock market should be a barometer of the economy, but in practice it has become a barometer of Fed policy."
Trump's attack on the Fed chairwoman during this week's presidential debate was so vicious that Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics, now thinks it's possible Yellen will have to resign if Trump ends up becoming president.