RANSquawk

Payrolls Preview: Here Comes The Post-Hurricane Surge

The BLS will release the October Employment Report at 08:30am ET on Friday, November 3.  The Street is looking for a veritable surge in hiring following the hurricane-related disruption last month sent monthly payrolls to the first negative print in 7 years. Analysts also expect wage growth to continue rising: Median forecasts looks for 310k nonfarm payroll jobs, with average hourly earnings rising rise to 2.7% Y/Y

Previewing Today's Fed Policy Decision

While normally Wednesday's Fed meeting would be the week's biggest market-moving event, this time - smack in the middle of the busiest earnings week of the year - it may not even make the top three...

ECB Preview: Here's What Draghi Will Announce Today

Thursday's ECB meeting is expected to be one of the most important in recent years: Mario Draghi has signaled, and is widely expected to announce a blueprint of what the central bank's QE tapering will look like beyond 2017, and while no actual tightening will be implemented - either via rates of asset purchases - the ECB is expected to announce it will cut its €60bn/month bond purchases in roughly half starting in January 2018 and lasting for the next 9-15 months.

The Key Things To Look For In Today's FOMC Minutes

While inflation will likely be a heavily debated topic, given recent Fedspeak it appears that most voting members are looking through some of the recent weakness and prefer to continue the "gradual" removal of monetary accommodation, in line with speculation that the Fed is no longer data dependent and may have lowered its inflation target outright.

S&P Futures Flat, Spain Rebounds, Nikkei Closes At 21 Year High

S&P500 futures point to a slightly lower open, as Asian stocks rise to trade near decade highs, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 closing at highest since 1996. European stocks are little changed, with Spanish shares gaining after Catalan President rows back from an immediate declaration of independence. MSCI's all-world stocks index briefly hit a fresh record high.

Previewing The September "Hurricane-Disrupted" Jobs Report

Tomorrow's hurricane-affected September jobs report will be... confusing. That is the (lack of) consensus from Wall Street analysts, who expect an average print of 80,000 (down from the 3-month average of 185K), however with huge variance on either side, with 4 economists predicting a loss of jobs, three expecting a print higher than 150K and one optimistic forecaster going as high as 260,000.

Complete Preview Of Theresa May's "Florence" Brexit Speech

Media speculation is mounting over the content of UK PM May’s Brexit Speech in Florence tomorrow. This is the first big Brexit-specific speech by the PM following the General Election. It is designed to outline the basis for negotiations at the fourth round of EU-UK negotiations in Brussels next week.

Full Preview Of Today's "Historic" FOMC Meeting

In what may be one of Janet Yellen's last, and certainly her most difficult in recent history meetings, tomorrow the FOMC will not hike rates but will announce the start of its balance sheet normalization programme, while revising its economic projections and hinting whether the December meeting is "live" for one more 2017 rate hike. Here's what else to look forward to...

World Stocks Hit Fresh Record High As Irma, Korea Rally Continues; Pounds Surges

World stocks hit new record highs on Tuesday amid a continuation of Monday's risk-on theme which unleashed a dramatic relief rally on easing North Korea tensions and signs that Hurricane Irma caused less damage than feared. The MSCI All-Country World Index gained 0.2%, hitting the highest on record with a fifth consecutive advance.

Key Events In The Coming Week: BOE, SNB, Inflation And Retail Sales

In a somewhat quieter week for economic news, this week's focus is on BoE and SNB policy meetings as well as on inflation releases in US, UK, China and others. Other releases of note include retail sales in the US, UK and China along with industrial production in US, Eurozone & China.

ECB Preview: A Trapped Mario Draghi Makes A Decision

After a barrage of media trial balloons (as recently as today) meant to temper the enthusiasm of Euro bulls now that the EURUSD is back to 1.20 and threatening European corporate profitability, Mario Draghi's Sintra hawkishness is a distant memory.

August Payrolls Preview: Prepare For Disappointment

If there is one common theme across sellside previews of tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls number, expected at 180K after a surprising jump to 209K in July, it is to brace for disappointment, or in Wall Street parlance, "downside risks."