Rating Agencies

"It Takes A Village To Maintain A Dangerous Financial System"

"...the motivations and actions (or inaction) of individuals in the financial system, governments, central banks, academia and the media that collectively contribute to the persistence of a dangerous and distorted financial system and inadequate, poorly designed regulations.  The underlying problem is a powerful mix of distorted incentives, ignorance, confusion, and lack of accountability. Willful blindness seems to play a role in flawed claims by the system’s enablers that obscure reality and muddle the policy debate."

With All Eyes On Tonight's BOJ Announcement, A "Minor" Snag Emerges

With all eyes on the BOJ's decision in several hours, an announcement which is expected to contain some component of government deficit funding attached to it, or helicopter-lite, a "minor" snag has emerged in what Japan has affectionately titled the "emergency, peace of mind realization, overall spending measures" fiscal package, namely that only about a quarter of the total JPY 28 trillion in new stimulus is in the form of actual spending.

Citi Is Stunned How Quickly The "Extraordinary Political Backdrop" Is Deteriorating

"These developments point to a marked increase in political risks in systemically-significant countries. At the start of the year, we flagged many of these as  well as introducing our thesis that rising Geopolitical Risks, accompanied by rising "Vox Populi" risks such as Brexit and changing US politics, were at risk of converging in new and powerful ways. Even so, we did not anticipate quite how many would transpire, let alone within such a compressed timeframe."

IBM "Beats" Despite 17th Straight Revenue Decline; Margin Miss; Spike In Net Debt

After 16 consecutive quarters, or 4 years, of declining annual revenue growth, there were some whispers that this could be the quarter IBM finally breaks the trend. Alas, it was not meant to be, and moments ago IBM reported Q2 revenues of $20.24BN, which will beating consensus of $20.03BN, was still 2.8% lower than a year ago. But more troubling is that despite the relatively modest drop in revenue, GAAP profit tumbled 27% to $2.61BN, with Net Income plunging 29% to $2.5BN.

European Central Banks Disclose Which Corporate Bonds They Own

Earlier today, alongside the ECB's latest weekly disclosure of total corporate bond purchases under the CSPP program, which as of July 15 had risen by approximately €2 billion to €10.427 billion, suggesting a daily purchase pace of about €400 million, Europe's various regional central banks also disclosed for the first time the CUSIP list of which specific bonds they had purchased over the past month and a half.

Sovereign Credit Is Deteriorating At A Record Pace

Culminating with the tipping of the UK's numerous real estate fund "dominoes" and the subsequent fallout in the wake Brexit, Fitch has been on a ratings-slashing spree, having cut the credit ratings on 14 nations so far in 2016, most recently that of the United Kingdom - a record downgrade pace for the rating agency.

Chicago Is Pushing For A Massive Bailout Of Its Public School System

Perhaps riding high on the small victory of a slight reprieve in the amount of money the city would have to contribute to fund the liabilities over the next few years, Rahm Emanuel is now quietly asking the city to change investment rules that would allow Chicago to purchase debt from sister agencies such as the Chicago Public School system - said differently, Rahm Emanuel wants to bail out the Chicago Public School system.

Here Is Why One Credit Rating Agency Believes Russia Is Safer Than The US

If posed with the question who has the better credit rating, the United States or Russia, most people would presumably pick the United States. However, that is not the case for Dagong Global Credit Rating Co, one of the three biggest credit rating companies in China. Here's why...

Mario Draghi Is Now Buying Junk Bonds

A few days after the ECB unexpectedly announced its CSPP, or corporate bond buying program which based on its definition was limited to investment grade, non-financial debt, we explained "Why The ECB Will Be Forced To Buy Junk Bonds", saying that "the EU corporate sector’s penchant for bond buybacks may ultimately force Draghi further down the ratings ladder lest the ECB should end up entangled tender offers or else end up without enough debt to monetize." This was confirmed on the very first day of the ECB's bond purchases.

It Takes A Village To Maintain A Dangerous Financial System

“The few who understand the system will either be so interested in its profits or be so dependent upon its favors that there will be no opposition from that class, while the great body of people, mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system, will bear its burdens without complaint, and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.”