ratings

Emerging Market Debt: Dumb, Dumber, And Dumbest

One of the classic signs that the credit cycle is nearing the end is that borrowers that shouldn’t be getting financed not only get funded, but get it at terms that seem crazy...

Trump Vows "All Options On The Table" After North Korea Missile Launch

"The world has received North Korea's latest message loud and clear: this regime has signaled contempt for its neighbors... Threatening and destabilizing actions only increase the North Korean regime's isolation in the region and among all nations of the world. All options are on the table."

How Much Harvey Damage Can Insurers Face Before They Crack?

It would take $100 billion or more of losses during a 12-month period to seriously threaten insurers’ balance sheets. For context, Hurricane Katrina, the costliest hurricane in US history, caused nearly $50 billion in insured losses in 2016 dollars.

Macron Approval Rating Crashes Twice As Fast As Trump's

It appears that Trump is no longer the president with the fastest plunge in his approval rating: that honor has now fallen to France's Emanuel Macron, who since his dramatic victory in the May 7 presidential election, has seen his popularity plummet twice as fast as that of even Donald Trump.

Matt Taibbi: Media Is The Real Villain (For Creating A World Dumb Enough For Trump)

"We've created a generation of anger addicts who can't read past the first page of a book. This is why the howls of outrage from within the ranks of the news media about Trump's election ring a little bit false. What the hell did we expect would happen? Who did we think would rise to prominence in our rage-filled, hyper-stimulated media environment? Sensitive geniuses?"

A Brief History Of Tail Risk: From LTCM, ABX, CDS, To VIX

"While I think valuations may be stretched, my bigger concern is that the real risk lies in market structure – more specifically to volatility and correlation strategies that quickly propagate through the financial markets with the aid of algorithmic trading..."