After the biggest two-day surge in oil in seven years, early in the overnight session both Brent and WTI continued their run for a third day, entering a bull market, 20% up from recent lows hit just last week (still 15% down on the year) when Saudi Arabia spoiled the momentum party after the world’s biggest crude exporter said it’s keeping up investments in energy projects while diesel consumption in China dropped for a fourth consecutive month, signaling an industrial slowdown. And thanks to the near record correlation between equities and oil, global stocks and US equity index futures initially rose only to slide following the Saudi comments.
Here Come The Blackouts: Largest Ever Muni Restructuring Falls Apart As Puerto Rico's Power Authority Balks At $9 Billion DealSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 01/24/2016 15:20 -0500
The largest restructuring in muni market history fell apart on Friday when Puerto Rican lawmakers failed to approve a deal to rework some $9 billion in liabilities for the island's beleaguered power utility. "This is incredible. Our power plants look like the cars in Cuba."
"There is hope of more stimulus in March and potential for even more stimulus in Japan and China, so if we get concrete positive economic news the rebound could last into next week,” said John Plassard, senior equity- sales trader at Mirabaud Securities. “I told my clients to fasten their seatbelts and wait for better news, and this is finally happening."... "The turnaround in sentiment came amid signs central banks may be prepared to act after $7.8 trillion was erased from the value of global equities this year on China’s slowdown and oil’s crash."
- Oil slump rocks markets again in equity rout (Reuters)
- Global Stocks on Brink of Bear Market as Oil Slides; Ruble Drops (BBG)
- Global Stocks Slide on Oil Rout (WSJ)
- Emerging Markets Roiled as Stock Selloff Surpasses Asian Crisis (BBG)
- Rising Debt in Emerging Markets Poses Global Threat (WSJ)
- China shares slip as oil slides, outweighing stimulus hopes (Reuters)
S&P's Downgrade (By A German Analyst) Is A "Politically-Motivated" Decision Aimed At Polish AuthoritiesSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 01/19/2016 12:50 -0500
The Standard and Poor’s rating agency, notorious for its controversial assessments, has this time bashed Poland in the wake of the anti-Polish frenzy whipped up by the European media. To be more precise, Poland was assailed by a German S&P analyst who lowered Poland’s rating from A- to BBB+, despite the economic data that by no means warrant such an evaluation.
Call it whatever you like,blame whoever you want...but Houston,we have a problem....
"We have until March, the summer maybe, for a European solution. Then Schengen goes down the drain. There is a big risk that Germany closes. From that, no Schengen ... There is a risk that February could start a countdown to the end."
As so often happens, whenever there is a political spat in Europe, the rating agencies are quickly involved (thing S&P and Moody's downgrades and upgrades of Greece depending on how well the vassal nation is "behaving"), and moments ago S&P downgraded Poland from A- to BBB+ outlook negative, precisely due to Poland's new media law which has been the topic of so much consternation over the past week. In other words, S&P is now nothing more than a lackey for Brussels, threatening to send Polish yields higher if Poland does not fall in line.
This is just the beginning. The bond bubble will take months to completely implode. And eventually it will consume even sovereign nations. Globally the bond bubble is $100 trillion in size: larger than even global GDP.
by a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens
The default of Sherwin Alumina, a US subsidiary of Glencore, refocused the market's attention on the one company which in September was among the hardest hit in the post-China devaluation rout, and the immediate result was that while Glencore stock plunged and is once again approaching all time lows, a more ominous development was that GLEN's CDS spiked to as much as 950 basis points, the highest since April 2009 and suggesting far more pain is in store for the commodity trading giant.
But here is a giant freebie for all those stupid, clueless oil executives out there in North America.
Our balance sheet - the strongest in recent history - represents a significant advantage as we continue to identify high value growth opportunities across the products and geographies we operate in. Maintaining out investment grade rating with the international rating agencies is a vital part of this strategy.
- Noble Group 2014 Annual Report, p. 27
"As more companies cross the Rubicon out of the buyback zone, the bid for their equity shrivels. For the 2013 financial year, 60% of stocks in my sample were in good shape to gear-up for buybacks. By the end of 2015, just 35% of the sample were in good shape to do buybacks."