Economic principles explain why the Saudis began, in late 2014, to pump crude as fast as they could – or close to as fast as possible. In fact, there is a good reason why the Saudi princes are panicked and pumping.
In another reminder that monetary unorthodoxy in the face of NIRP is coming to a savings account near you, overnight the RBS banking group warned 1.3 million customers they could be charged negative interest rates if the Bank of England cuts base rates below zero. As seen in the letter posted below, the bank warned that: "Global interest rates remain at very low levels and in some markets are currently negative. Dependent on future market conditions, this could result in us charging on credit balances."
In a session where bleary-eyed traders followed the all-night tragic developments out of Dallas and initially sold off risk assets, it is good to see that some normalcy prevailed with the traditional post Europe-open futures ramp, which was further assisted by the successful resolution of the Dallas standoff, which has pushed futures modestly higher ahead of today's main event for markets, the June payrolls report due in under two hours.
After yesterday's afternoon surge in US stocks, facilitated by the "uncertain" Fed's FOMC Minutes, today the rest of global market are playing catch up with European stocks rebounding from one week lows, snapping the longest losing streak in three weeks, as well as Asia where most stock markets climbed, led by gains among energy producers as crude prices advanced, while a stronger yen weighed on Japanese shares.
Over the past few months we have witnessed massive cost cutting efforts (ie: firing of bankers) by many firms, Goldman, BAML, Nomura and RBS to name a few. Now it's time to add Commerzbank to the list of firms that need to fire people in order to try and cut enough costs to maintain earnings amid slumping revenues.
Well that didn't last long. With hopes of a face-ripping ride higher this morning as Draghi jawboning lifted bank stocks and Cable, the bounce was nothing but an opportunity for sellers to escape at better prices. While Deutsche eked out a tiny gain, RBS, Unicredit, Credit Suisse, and UBS all tumbled to end the day red...
Things are going from bad to worse for the UK. "We’ve seen so many developments around Brexit over the weekend since the FTSE closed and things are now looking even more concerning," Angus Nicholson of IG Ltd., said. "It’s hard to have any idea about where fair value for the pound should be when you look at the fact that Scotland and Northern Ireland could no longer be part of the U.K. within the next year or two."
Sterling drops, banking stocks tumble and peripheral EGB and credit spreads widen after the U.K.’s vote to leave the EU; verbal and direct intervention by central banks help currencies off earlier lows. U.K. PM David Cameron has resigned, announcing there needs to be a new prime minister in place by October.