RBS

Frontrunning: October 9

  • Thaler, Famed for ‘Nudge’ Theory, Wins Nobel Prize in Economics  (BBG)
  • Republicans Worry About Keeping Trump’s Middle-Class Tax Promise (BBG)
  • Catalan leader under pressure to drop independence (Reuters)
  • Spain Warns Catalonia Independence Bid Risks Economic Meltdown (BBG)
  • U.S. Asks Allies to Cut Off North Korea (WSJ)

Dollar Surges, Bonds Dump Ahead Of Trump Tax Plan

S&P futures are set for a higher open (+ 0.1%) despite the expected hit to the Dow from Nike, as European stocks gain while Asian shares dropped. Like yesterday when the big story was the jump in the USD ahead of Yellen's (rather hawkish) speech, so today the greenback's levitation has continued, this time propelled by the imminent unveiling of Trump's tax plan.

The Secret History Of The Banking Crisis

"Accounts of the financial crisis leave out the story of the secretive deals between banks that kept the show on the road. How long can the system be propped up for?"

Steve H. Hanke's picture

Why was international financial officialdom so eager to raise banks’ capital-asset ratios? The starting point for the global bank capital obsession is found in Britain and its infamous Northern Rock affair. Indeed, this was the true beginning of the Great Financial Crisis and the Great Recession.

Frontrunning: August 4

  • July’s U.S. Labor-Market Numbers Will Probably Look Familiar (BBG)
  • Paul Singer Says Passive Investing Is ‘Devouring Capitalism’ (BBG)
  • Tesla short sellers lose almost $800 million as stock rallies after earnings (MW)
  • Beyond Bankruptcy: How Failed Stores Come Back Online (WSJ)
  • EU to impose more Russia sanctions over Siemens case on Friday (Reuters)
  • Trouble Comes in Threes for Germany’s DAX Losing European Crown (BBG)

RBS Pays $5.5 BIllion To Settle US Mortgage-Backed Securities Probe

Moments ago Royal Bank of Scotland announced it has agreed to pay $5.5 billion to the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency to settle a probe into its sale of toxic mortgage-backed securities ahead of the financial crisis, part of what it says was a “heavy price” paid for over-expansion before the financial crisis.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Yellen, Inflation, Durables And GDP

The main releases this week are the durable goods report on Monday, the Q1 GDP revision on Thursday, and the personal income and spending report on Friday. There are also many speaking engagements by Fed officials including a speech by Fed Chair Yellen on Tuesday.

S&P Futures At Record High After "Shocking" UK Election Result

"Triple Threat Thursday" is now a distant memory, with both the ECB and Comey testimony "non-events" for the market, although the UK general election was a shocker in which contrary to expectations, Theresa May lost her majority in Parliament, sending sterling tumbling overnight and prompting even more confusion about the UK's political fate and the future of Brexit.

Stocks Set For New All-Time Highs, Nikkei Rises Above 20,000, Oil Slides

Stocks are set for new all time highs with S&P futures up 0.2%, boosted by green markets across Europe and Asia, where the Nikkei rose above 20,000 for the first time since 2015. World stocks are set for new record highs, having already gained 11% so far this year, ahead of today's US nonfarm payrolls which are expected to increase by 185,000 jobs after surging 211,000 in April.

Futures Rise On Government Funding Deal; Most Global Markets Closed For Holiday

With much of Europe and Asia, including the U.K., France, Germany and China markets closed for Labor Day, Asian stocks and the dollar rose buoyed by news that Congress had reached a deal to keep the US government funded through the end of September. S&P futures are up 4 points or 0.2%. Oil declined as rigs targeting crude in the U.S. rose for a fifteenth week and output from Libya rebounded.

Global Stocks Pause Ahead Of GDP Report; Nasdaq Hits Fresh Record High

Despite yesterday's whopping beats by Amazon and Google which sent the Nasdaq to new record highs after hours, this morning futures S&P futures are little changed ahead of the closely watched Q1 GDP report, European stocks and Asian equities are slightly lower, oil is higher after Russia said it had reached the 300kbpd oil cut per the OPEC pact, and the dollar was modestly in the red.

Frontrunning: February 24

  • Futures drop along with oil prices (Reuters)
  • The U.S. Is the World’s Third-Best Equity Market Since 1900 (BBG)
  • U.S. Talks With Mexico Clouded by Mixed Message (WSJ)
  • A Tea Party for the left? Liberals hope so (Reuters)
  • Kushner, Ivanka Trump Block Attack on Paris Pact (WSJ)
  • Saudi Arabia’s Oil Wealth Is About to Get a Reality Check (BBG)