In the aftermath of last night's snafu involving Melania Trump's address to the RNC, the GOP has a simple message to trump: fire somebody. As the Hill reports citing Republicans gathered in Cleveland on Tuesday, the Trump campaign should take action against whoever is responsible for the similarities between Melania Trump’s address at the GOP convention and Michelle Obama’s convention speech in 2008.
Sales plunged by about half and home prices fell sharply in the second quarter in the toniest enclaves of the Hamptons, New York's weekend haunt for the wealthy, as stock market jitters earlier in the year damped the appetite to buy.
While we have often documented the dramatic underperformance by the hedge fund industry over the past decade, today we learn that "vanilla" asset managers were also hurt over the past year in which the S&P went nowhere. Case in point: Calpers, the largest U.S. public pension fund which as the WSJ reports posted its lowest annual gain since the last financial crisis due to heavy losses in stocks.
Norges Bank continues to hold rates at .5%, signaling an upward bias but willing to cut if needed, depending on unforeseen external shocks like BREXIT. In my opinion, they really don’t know what to do while the country heads for stagflation (simultaneous rising unemployment and inflation). They are in a “damned if they do and damned if they don’t situation.”
Status quo, as our generation know it, established in 1945 has plodded along ever since. It is true that it have had near death experiences several times, especially in August 1971 when the world almost lost faith in the global reserve currency and in 2008 when the fractional reserve Ponzi nearly consumed itself. While the recent Brexit vote seem to be just another near death experience we believe it says something more fundamental about the world.
With the S&P500 at all time highs, it is time to look at the US housing market where, however, courtesy of some recent data by RealtyTrac, Bank of America and Credit Suisse we find that not all is well.
With market participants expecting US inflation to remain subdued for a long time, moments ago the BLS poured cold water of disinflationary expectations when June Producer Prices came blistering hot, rising 0.5% over the prior month, well above the 0.3% expected, and the highest sequential jump since September of 2012.
"...central bankers seem to view elevated security valuations as “wealth.” The longer this fallacy persists, the worse the subsequent fallout will be. I have little doubt that future generations will look at the reckless arrogance of today’s central bankers no differently than we view speculators in the South Sea Bubble and the Dutch Tulip-mania. Unfortunately, there is no mechanism by which historically-informed pleas of “no, stop, don’t!” will penetrate their dogmatic conceit. Nor can we change the psychology of investors."
JPMorgan Chase & Co., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, said second-quarter profit fell 1.4 percent, beating analysts’ estimates as fixed-income trading revenue and loan growth jumped. Revenue climbed 2.8 percent to $25.2 billion, beating the $24.5 billion average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The company said average core loans increased 16 percent from a year earlier.