Real estate

JPMorgan COO Matt Zames Is Leaving The Bank, Takes $48 Million Exit Package

In what is the biggest financial news of the day, with "Triple Threat Thursday" now downgraded to Single, outlook negative, moments ago Bloomberg reported that JPM COO, and former co-chair of the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, Matt Zames who was viewed as a potential successor to CEO Jamie Dimon, is leaving after 13 years at the bank.

Bill Blain: "Forget 'Super Thursday', Today Is About Central Banks"

"Despite the noise about tighter policy, the reality is global recovery remains lethargic and thin. It’s easy to argue the new normal economic reality does not require aggressive monetary policy – low rates and low inflation for ever! Today we have the Fed and the ECB in the frame. Both are likely to defuse their respective ticking taper/tightening bombs."

The U.K. Election: An Outsider Looking In

"Intuition suggests Saturday night’s horrific terrorist attacks on London Bridge would have solidified Conservative’s lead. But the polls counter-intuitively indicate a move in the opposite direction... It’s notable that May’s lead did not initially narrow based solely on events that were out of her control, as in three terrorist attacks in three months. Rather, it was her vow to make pensioners’ benefits progressive..."

Buried Beneath The Headlines...

"This morning’s big news is the Chinese announcement they would they would buy more US Treasuries as the Yuan stabilizes. Although the knee jerk market response was to take US Treasuries higher, I wonder if traders are misinterpreting the news."

Recession Watch - Fall 2017

Could it be that we’re facing the prospects of another recession prior to the completion of Fed ‘normalization’ policies?  From our one ear to the ground one eye to the future vantage point you can already count on it. At the moment, this forthcoming recession is popping up like dark storm clouds just above the horizon.  By fall, it may be bearing down upon us in full force.

Frontrunning: June 6

  • Kuwait’s Emir Moves to Mediate Saudi-Qatar Crisis (BBG)
  • Qatari riyal under pressure as Saudi, UAE banks delay Qatar deals (Reuters)
  • Qatar's dispute with Arab states puts LNG market on edge (Reuters)
  • Trump seeks legislative wins as clock ticks, Russia probe looms (Reuters)
  • Democrats aim to turn anti-Trump sentiment into votes in Virginia (Reuters)

Gold Surges, Global Stocks Slide As "Super Thursday" Risks Loom

With traders realizing that the "Thursday Turmoil Trifecta" looms, world stocks dropped and safe-haven assets rose as investors focused on the growing tension in the Middle East, while caution spread across markets in a week full of risk events including James Comey’s congressional testimony to the ECB’s policy meeting and Britain’s increasingly uncertain election, all in the span of 24 hours. As a result, European and Asian stocks as well as S&P futures all fell, while gold, yen and Treasuries gained.

One Belt, One Road, And One Debt Hangover

"In the end, China is attempting to create a geopolitical sphere of influence of even greater scope than the Japanese Empire prior to World War II. As with its other policies, China will turn liquid assets into illiquid assets in order to pursue its ambitions. This could make sense if nothing goes wrong. But, things will go wrong."

"This Only Ends When The Bond Market Pukes"

"There will be rallies in bonds that you can trade, but over the long run, I have complete faith that governments and Central Banks will do what they do best - inflate away your hard earned money. Betting against them is betting against history… "