Real estate

China's "Ghost Collateral" Arrives In Canada, "Heralding A Crisis"

"We all know that the ghost collateral is a huge deal, and we all know that the shadow banking and other Chinese influence in Vancouver is profound. The issue is that the ghost collateral ends up re-hypothecated and laundered. So by the time it shows up in Vancouver, it will likely just look like a rich Chinese cash buyer with a suitcase of money.“

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why

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Tangible assets are a needed hedge when it seems everything–the stock market, real estate, bonds–are overvalued or in a bubble. A good useful skill is as tangible an asset as they get. And unlike resources, a skill cannot so easily be taken from you.

Frontrunning: June 16

  • Russia may have killed ISIS leader Baghdadi (Reuters)
  • About 4,000 more US troops to go to Afghanistan (AP)
  • Insurers Look to Ramp Up Premiums in Health Law Exchanges (WSJ)
  • U.N. envoy urges North Korea to explain why freed U.S. man is in coma (Reuters)
  • Wal-Mart Offers a Refuge for Sellers Tired of Amazon  (BBG)

Valuations: It Is Different This Time

"Stock investors have been waiting on the Godot of growth for most of this century and one can’t help but wonder at what point they’ll get up and leave the theater..."

Peak Economic Delusion Signals Coming Crisis

"The question is not “when” we will enter collapse; we are already in the midst of an economic collapse. The real question is, when will the uneducated and the biased finally notice? I suspect the only thing that will shock them out of their stupor will be a swift stock market drop, since this is the only factor they seem to pay attention to. This will happen soon enough."

A New Chinese Threat Emerges: Net Bond Issuance Crashes Most On Record

China just suffered a record collapse in net corporate bond financing, the latest and far more "tangible" threat to China's debt-fuelled economy. In May a quarter trillion yuan in corporate bonds matured, or were repaid, or defaulted, resulting in the biggest corporate debt drain in history.