Real estate

Housing Bubble 1.0 Vs. Housing Bubble 2.0 - The Culprit Is "Shadow Demand"... Again!

"If 2006 was a known bubble with housing prices at “X”, affordability never better, easy availability of credit, unemployment in the 4%’s, total workforce at record highs, and growing wages, then what do you call today with house prices at X+ 5% to 20%, worse affordability and credit, higher unemployment, weakening total workforce, and shrinking wages? Whatever you call it, it’s a greater thing than “X”."

First Treasuries, Now China Is Also Liquidating US Stocks

As it turns out, China wasn't selling only Treasurys. According to a Bloomberg analysis when peeking deeper at the TIC data, while China’s sales of Treasuries have slowed, its holdings of U.S. equities are now showing steep declines as Beijing proceeds to liquidate a substantial portion of its US equities: China's stash of American stocks sank about $126 billion, or 38%, from the end of July through March, to just $201 billion. That far outpaces selling by investors globally in that period.

How Wall Street Is Strangling The Economy

The “financialization of America” - the trend by which finance and its way of thinking have come to reign supreme - is perpetuating Wall Street’s reign over Main Street, widening the gap between rich and poor, and threatening the future of the American Dream...

Big Names Are Bailing

The list of heavy hitters who are saying bad things about this world and its financial markets - while acting aggressively on their pessimism - is growing to alarming proportions.

This Is What The Unprecedented Chinese M&A Scramble In America Looks Like

The level of Chinese cross-border M&A chasing after US targets is literally off the charts. Notably, China has accounted for 26% of global cross-border activity YTD, which is nearly 3x higher than the next highest year. At $28 bn YTD, US-inbound deal flow from Chinese acquirers is already a record level and nearly 2x last year’s volumes

Royal Mint Allows British Pensioners To 'Save' In Gold Bullion

Given the current uncertainty surrounding Brexit, the news this week that Britain's Royal Mint will join the current providers of gold to self-invested pension savers in the UK (SIPPS) - allowing British pensioners a tax efficient way of investing in bullion - is fascinating. While gold bullion has been allowed in SIPPs since 2006, this is the first time the Royal Mint has allowed its higher-quality bullion to be bought for pensions.

How Fascism Comes To America

We're now well into what I call The Greater Depression. A lot of people believe we're in a recovery now; I think, from a long-term point of view, that is total nonsense. We're just in the eye of the hurricane and will soon be moving into the other side of the storm. But it will be far more severe than what we saw in 2008 and 2009 and will last quite a while – perhaps for many years, depending on how stupidly the government acts.

What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

So we have a booming market in opaque, complicated financial instruments involving layers of risk, leverage and maturity mismatches.  We have unsophisticated investors and issuers, both seeking to avoid government regulations and expecting to be bailed out in the worst case. We have cross-holdings and backdoor exposures to regular credit channels.  We have all of this taking place in an environment of booming credit expansion, a deteriorating economy and financial repression. We hate to repeat ourselves, but really... WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG?