Since President Trump’s surprise victory over Hillary Clinton in November, investors and management teams have been acutely focused on the new administration’s policy proposals. As expected, all 4 key themes discussed on Q4 conference calls are closely linked to Trump's policies and include tax reform, regulation, fiscal spending and trade policy.
Migration is a human right, and so is a living wage. WTF!? Was everyone marching aware of this? If the US were to take on all refugees and give them a guaranteed a living wage, 50 million refugees would come in a single year. Anyone marching for those two Women’s March guiding principles does not understand math, at best.
After a multi-month, politically charged investigation, German intelligence agencies could find no good evidence of Moscow-directed cyber-attacks or a disinformation campaign aimed at subverting the democratic process in Germany. Undaunted, Chancellor Angela Merkel has commissioned a new investigation.
The rise of fake news is complex and very difficult to untangle. However, the fact is that established news outlets aren’t doing themselves any favors. If people feel like they can’t trust the Washington Post or other such sources, then it should be no surprise that they are turning to the power of “word of mouth” from their peers more often – no matter how fallible this might be.
As is always the case, a ramping bull market hides investor mistakes – it is the bear market that reveals them. The meteoric rise in passive investing is one such 'strategy' sending an important and timely warning. Just remember, everyone is 'passive' until the selling begins.
German politics = boring politics – in recent decades this equation has generally held true. And yet, with the new Europe we face, that perhaps is no longer the best thing for them to be. Suddenly politics in Germany has become very interesting and the race for the chancellorship looks open again.
For 60 years the labor force participation rate of 25-54 year old men in America has declined. There are many reasons for this existential decline, but Philly Federal Reserve President Pat Harker explained today during a Q&A session that he is concerned that more 25-54 year old men are out of the workforce and blamed "drug abuse" for the problem. Of course, this is not the first time Fed officials have claimed 'drug abuse' as an excuse for the failure of their policies.