Recession

Why The Average American Is Angry (In 6 Simple Charts)

The last 20 years have brought great wealth to a few while most of the population was lucky to break even. Whether you’re a member of the elite/protected class or one of the unprotected, it’s hard to deny this reality. Globalization has created divisions between skilled and unskilled workers. Too few of the gains from growing trade are going to the unprotected class. They’re angry. We’re seeing this backlash now in people’s attraction to Trump, who promise to bring jobs back.

On The Impossibility Of Helicopter Money And Why The Casino Will Crash

Will the boys and girls still in the casino after the current election gong show is over patiently wait for their next fix from a beltway governance process that is in sheer pandemonium and stalemate? We think the odds are between slim and none. As we indicated previously, if Trump is elected the fiscal process will lapse into confrontation and paralysis for an indefinite spell. And if Hillary is elected, the Republican House will become a killing field for almost anything she proposes, and most especially the rank Keynesian apostasy of outright and massive debt monetization...

S&P Futures Unchanged As Europe Rises; Dollar Slide Sends Oil Above $47

In the latest quiet trading session, European shares rose while Asian stocks fell and S&P futures were little changed. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting damped prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike, sending the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index doen 0.3%, approaching a three-month low. Dollar weakness continues to buoy commodities, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index set for the most enduring rally in more than two months, as WTI flirted with $47

Carl Icahn Turns Apocalyptic: "I Am More Hedged Than Ever, A Day Of Reckoning Is Coming"

"I have hedges on, I'm more hedged than I ever was. [The market] is way overvalued at 20 times the S&P and I'll tell you why: a lot of it is a result of zero interest rates. That's going to be hurtThere's going to be a day of reckoning here.  I've seen it many times in my life.  When things look good, they look great.  You go into the sky.  But that's when you have to really pull down and really stop buying."

Bad Data, Broader Alarms, And Business Cycles

The economy is pointing downward with alarms ringing in a wider and broader variety of important economic accounts. From this view, it is no wonder the FOMC overreacted to the May payroll report; that’s all that is left as it is more and more isolated.

Gold Is At Extreme Correlations Against Stocks, Bonds, & Oil

Gold has been exhibiting some extreme correlations over the past three months. And by extreme, we mean the most negatively correlated it has been to stocks, bonds and oil prices in decades (or ever in some cases)...the only other times this happened was when the US was in the middle of a recession (1991, 2001, 2008).

Global Economic Bellwether Cisco Reportedly Fires 20% Of Workforce

It's easy to shrug off the sharpest productivity decline in 40 years and the worst non-recessionary industrial production contraction in US history because... well it's the new economy, stupid and you just don't get it. But when 'new economy' networking giant Cisco is reportedly set to announce it is laying off a record number of employees - 14,000 representing 20% of its global workforce - surely it is time to question the "everything is awesome" narrative.

Peter Schiff Explains How Central Banks Are Choking Productivity

If the cost of money is high, people think carefully about where they want to put their money. They select only the best investments. This helps everyone. When money is cheap, they throw darts against a wall. This is not the best use of societies' scarce resources. Is it any wonder productivity is down?

"Trouble In Paradise" - Hopes Of Economic Growth Just Took A Beating

The ongoing misinterpretation and massaging of economic data to spin a positive view on the economy are fine and good. However, real economic recovery must start with the average American since consumption makes up nearly 70% of economic growth. While the current Administration and Federal Reserve promote policies that are supposed to create economic prosperity for all, the reality is that remains bottled up on Wall Street.