Recession

ilene's picture

It’s That Time of The Month, Employment Data Leads To Investment Mood Syndrome





While usually prepared to rant and rave about how misleading the SA numbers, this month, Lee can't.  

 
rcwhalen's picture

David Kotok | Greece, Tragedy & Poetry





Do not trust any government. Nothing new here. This Greek government invoked the collective action clause (CAC). It retroactively inserted provisions in a debt contract and then imposed them.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Guest Post: Time to Accumulate Gold and Silver?





...most investors fall into one of two categories: those that hold an abundance of gold and silver (which tends to be physical forms only), and those with little or none. While both groups need to diversify, I'm a little more concerned about the second group. Here's why. Regardless of what you think will happen over the remainder of this decade, one thing seems virtually certain: the value of paper money will be affected, perhaps dramatically. Even if the economy slips into deflation, the deflation wouldn't last long. A panicked Fed would print to the max and set off a wild rise in prices. This is why we're convinced currency dilution will not only continue but accelerate. Let's take a look at what's happened so far with the value of our currency vs. gold, after accounting for the loss in purchasing power.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bank Of America Throws Up All Over Friday's Jobs Number





There was a time when Bank of America's archoptimist David Bianco would take any economic data point, no matter how fecal mattery, and convert it into 24-carat gold. Then, in late 2011 Bianco was fired because the bank realized that its only chance to persevere was if the Fed proceeded with another round of QE, (and another, and another, ad inf) and as such economic reporting would have to lose its upward bias and be reporting in its natural ugly habitat. And while many other banks have in recent days become content with every other central bank in the world easing but not the Fed in an election year due to the risks of record gas prices, BAC's push for QE has not abated and in fact has gotten louder and louder. So exposes us to some oddities. Such as the firm's 29 year old senior economist Michelle Meyer literally demolishing any myth that yesterday's job number was "good." Needless to say, this will not come as a surprise to Zero Hedge readers. Nor to TrimTabs, whose opinion on the BLS BS we have attached as exhibit B as to the sheer economic data propaganda happening in an election year. Yet it is quite shocking that such former stalwarts of the bullish doctrine are now finally exposing the truth for what it is. Presenting Bank of America as we have never seen it before - throwing up all over the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 
Reggie Middleton's picture

Greece Is Trying To Convince Portugal To Make F.I.R.E. Hot!!!





As Portugal gets jealous of Greece's ability to just not pay bills, insurance portfolios will suffer greatly as the FIRE sector burns! The first domino has fallen, yet the MSM is taking this as a non-event!

 
Daily Collateral's picture

Kit Juckes: The USA's gentlemen's agreement with Japan and China is coming to an end





Looks like it's time to start looking for somewhere else to peddle those Treasuries -- but then, when hasn't it been?

 
Reggie Middleton's picture

Even With Back Dated Deals Featuring Only One Party, One Can't Escape Greece's Problem Shared By Much Of The EU





Even With Back Dated Deals Featuring Only One Party, One Can't Escape Greece's Problem Shared By Much Of The EU. Let's look at some nasty consequences...

 
undertheradar's picture

DNB Says Dutch Consumer Spending Has Been Very Weak In The Past Ten Years





 

Consumer spending in the Netherlands has been weaker than other countries in the eurozone for the past ten year and is currently also lower than during the severe economic crisis of the early 80s according the Dutch Central Bank (DNB). They continue that the low spending is an important factor in the recession the Netherlands is now in. Dutch spending patterns have deviated from other European countries which is noteworthy since the Netherlands had one of the highest rates of eurozone countries between 1992 and 2001.

 
Daily Collateral's picture

Albert Edwards: JPY devaluation exacerbates risk of China hard landing, drags them into currency war





"We are a hair's breadth or, more exactly, one recession away from a market panic on outright deflation -- a panic that will send the central banks into a printing frenzy that will make their balance sheet expansion so far seem like a warm-up act for the main show." Albert Edwards

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Perspectives On A Printing Press Pause





It would appear, given the actions and rhetoric of the last week or so, that global central bank printing presses have been switched to 'pause' mode and allowed to cool as implicit inflation 'energy' rears its economic-growth-dragging head around the world (as the bears told us earlier). Whether this leads to a slow grind higher or a tactical correction is the question Morgan Stanley considers in a recent note and their answer is that bullish sentiment, 'under-appreciated' risks, and 'tranquil' markets justify a cautious asset allocation. The focus has switched much more to growth, likely why we have not seen a greater deterioration post-printing yet, but this leaves the market much more sensitive to data surprises (as the backstop of QE has been removed for now). Simply put, we tend to agree with MS' view (given our previous discussions of the volatility surface) that as event and growth risks linger, and with valuations no longer cheap in most cases, expectations of a continued grind higher without a tactical correction are overly confident.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: March 7





  • Key rate for $350 trillion market in limbo - Libor Links Deleted as U.K. Bank Group Backs Away From Rate (Bloomberg)
  • Rift Grows Between Germany's Bundesbank and ECB (Spiegel)
  • Athens issues threat to bond holdouts (FT)
  • SNB to Reveal Board Members’ Currency Transactions After Hildebrand Furor (Bloomberg)
  • Sarkozy Floats New Corporate Tax (WSJ)
  • Super Tuesday Ensures a GOP War of Attrition (WSJ)
  • Martin Wolf - The pain in Spain will test the euro (FT)
  • Refinancing Fees Are Reduced for Some F.H.A. Borrowers (NYT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Guest Post: Welcome To Year Five In The Crazy House





Welcome to the Crazy House, a rotting McMansion ruled by power-drunk megalomaniacs suffering from delusions of invulnerability and god-like powers. Why are we here, you ask? Because the drunks who run the household make it so darned easy: just keep quiet, listen politely to their ravings, and you get subsidized meals, free rent, a houseful of techno-gadgetry and nonstop entertainment--and that's not even counting the amusement value of their delusional, sloppy-drunk ramblings out by the rust-stained pool.

 
Phoenix Capital Research's picture

China Won’t Save the Day For Europe… or Anyone Else... It Will Collapse Just as the USSR Did





The Chinese population is beginning to realize that the Government is losing control. People are willing to go along with a regime as long as they can “get by” under it. But as soon as it becomes impossible to survive… then situations like Wukan happen. There will be a LOT of Wukans in the coming months and years in China. Whether it’s by inflation or an economic contraction brought about by Europe’s collapse (Europe is China’s largest trading partner), civil unrest and “mass incidents” will be on the rise in the People’s Republic as the Chinese realize that the current system and the supposed wealth it will create for them are in fact a giant fraud.

 

 
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