"My Order Book Is Abysmal" - Dallas Fed Contracts For 21st Straight Month

For the 21st month in a row, Dallas Fed's manufacturing outlook remains stuck in contraction (-3.7 vs -2.5 exp). This is the longest streak outside of recession in the survey's history as new orders cratered (one respondent noting "my order book is abysmal") and inventories tumbling (not good for GDP).

Knave Dave's picture

Trump's corporate tax cut is the largest in US history, but it's another giveaway to the top 10%, including himself. It comes with no constraints so it will be spent on more stock buybacks and bigger bonuses. If you want a place at the table, you're going to have to fight for it; otherwise, you can stay below with the rest of the dying middle class and lick up the crumbs.

"Hell To Pay" - The Final Condition For A Market Crash Is Falling Into Place

Our liquidity-drunk “markets” remain over-priced due to the chronic intervention of the global central banking cartel, which has demonstrated over and over again that it won't tolerate even the slightest drop in asset prices. Once faith in central banks is lost, their power to delay the deflationary day of reckoning goes with it. The stupendous amount of debt they have helped heap onto the financial system since 2008 will start going into default and the only question that will matter is: Who is going to eat the losses?

Traveling Circus

After Wednesday’s policy statements by the Fed and Bank of Japan, a harsh light is being shined on the incredible nature of their communications. It would be wise in the current environment to structure investment portfolios with a pro-volatility bias.

What If We're In A Depression But Don't Know It?

Is the economy in a Depression? Not if you're a corporate bigwig skimming vast gains from corporate buybacks funded by the Fed's free money for financiers. But if you're a wage earner who's seen your pay, hours and benefits cut while your healthcare costs have skyrocketed - well, if it isn't a Depression, it's a very close relative of a Depression.

Italy Is The EU's Weakest Link

Italy’s economy is weak. There is no growth. The banking system is in bad shape. Unemployment is high. There is substantial public unrest, and Renzi’s standing is weakening. Italy has been somewhere between recession and stagnation since 2008. After eight years, the situation shows no signs of improving... The faster they get out of the EU the better.

The Fed's Missed Window & Failed Realizations

Unwittingly, the Fed has now become co-dependent on the markets. If they move to tighten monetary policy, the market sells-off impacting consumer confidence and pushes economic growth rates lower. With economic growth already running below 2%, there is very little leeway for the Fed to make a policy error at this juncture. Therefore, the Fed remains trapped between keeping the financial markets happy and trying to resolve their monetary dilemma. The problem is that eventually something has to give and it will likely not be the outcome the Fed continues to hope for.