recovery

Prepare For A Surge In Volume: Russell Rebalance Day Is Here

Welcome to the one year anniversary of the Brexit vote. Welcome also to the annual Russell rebalance, traditionally one of the busiest trading days of the year: last year's rebalance helped propel a near record turnover of over 15 billion shares. In fact, in four of the last five years, reconstitution day ranked in the 10 busiest trading sessions.

US Home Prices Surge To Record High As Homebuilder Hope-Reality Gap Largest Ever

Following April's declines across the home sales data (as well as a dip in homebuilder optimism), existing home sales in May surprised positively (up 1.1% versus -0.4% exp) and follows a small upward revision to April's drop. Median Home Prices pushed to a new record high at $252,800, as inventories tumble.

Oil Bear Market Sends Global Stocks, Yields Sliding; Chinese MSCI Addition Fizzles

In an eventful overnight session which saw a historic transition in Saudi Arabia, an unexpeted Republican victory in the Georgia Special Election, China's inclusion in the MSCI EM index and Travis Kalanick's resignation, S&P futures continued to fall, alongside stock markets in Asia and Europe, while oil prices extended their drop despite a larger than expected draw reported by API on Tuesday.

Is Trump Setting Himself Up To Take All The Blame When The Stock Market Tanks?

"You can blame whoever you want for the coming calamity; Obama, The Fed, Wall Street, a massive public debt, excessive entitlement spending, or any of the number of other “bubbles” currently plaguing our country’s capital markets... But, when it all explodes, Trump and all the 'MAGA' voters who got him elected are going to be the ones eating all the blame that gets served up."

The Global Commodity Cycle: Where Are We Now

"In commodity cycles, demand leads and supply reacts, with a lag. And the factor which facilitates this process is price. 2017 looks to be providing another classic example of this simple commodity rule."

Mark Hanson: Housing Bubble 2.0 - The End Is Nigh?

"If, the past 8-years of a Fed in Armageddon-mode created the 'everything bubble', what will shifting monetary policy into reverse do to said asset price levels? ..Remember, a 'house-price recovery' and 'housing market recovery' are two vastly different things."

Global Stocks Jump, Dow Futs At New All Time Highs As Brexit Talks Begin

S&P futures rose 0.3% in subdued trading with Dow Jones futs once again in record territory as European stocks jump 0.6% following Sunday's landslide victory for Macron's party in the French parliamentary elections and as Brexit negotiations are set to officially roll out on Monday.

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why