recovery

"Things Have Tapered Off" - US Services Economy Jumps To 13-Month Highs But New Orders Stall

After spiking to 2016 highs in September/October, the US Services economy slipped lower in November according to Markit with signs of margin squeezes appearing as input cost inflation hits a 15-month high, but prices charged remained flat, and payrolls growth remains weak (well below average). However, ISM reported a big beat, with Services at the highest since Oct 2015 (despite a drop in new orders).

"Meanwhile In Europe..." - The Big Day Arrives

Less than a month after the "shocking" election of Donald Trump as US president, the world prepares for another day of political shockwaves, this time out of Europe, when on Sunday all eyes will be on Italy and, to a slightly lesser extent, Austria.

Trump Vs China: Credit Cycles & Gold

As all experience from the past clearly demonstrates, it is a mistake to believe that the gold price is set solely by dollar interest rates, or its relative strength in other currencies. This being the case, the current weakness of the gold price is simply a reflection of temporary dollar shortages, and nothing more.

Deutsche Bank Pays $60 Million To Settle Gold-Manipulation Lawsuit

Two months after paying $38 million to settle a silver price-fixing case, on Friday Deutsche Bank agreed to pay $60 million to settle private U.S. antitrust litigation by traders and other investors who accused the German bank of conspiring to manipulate gold prices at their expense.

Mexican Central Bank Head Quits Amid Fears Over "Trump Impact"

In one of the day's more puzzling developments, the head of the Mexican central bank, Augusten Carstens, announced he would unexpectedly stand down from his post next July, 4 years ahead of his term's end. Why the sudden announcement? Among the theories emerging is that Carstens has had enough dealing with the unpredicabilities in the political climate, especially since the Trump election, and wanted out.

3 Things: Exuberance, Small Caps, & 6% Realities

"...there is a long way to go between President-elect taking office, drafting bills and getting them passed. There is even a further period of time before any actions actually passed by the Trump administration actually create perceivable effects within the broader economy. In the meantime, there are many concerns, from a technical perspective, that must be recognized within the current market environment."

A Tale Of Two Job Markets (Or Why The Elites Couldn't See A Trump Win Coming)

With the economic expansion in its eighth year, over 15 million jobs added since the post-recession low in employment, and a steady decline in the jobless rate from its recessionary high of 10% to under 5%, many mainstream economists were convinced that the U.S. economy was in good shape. That misconception, at least where jobs are concerned, is a key reason so many were stunned by this month’s election verdict.

The Last Ride Of The Unemployment Rate

After eight years of trying to see recovery where there was none, the constant spin of sunshine will very likely disappear on January 20. It is ironic in one sense since it is this very disparity between mainstream “reporting” and actual economic conditions that contributed to the Trump victory in the first place.

Beige Book Finds Modest Economic Slowdown: Strong Dollar "Headwinds" Cited

The Fed's latest Beige Book released Wednesday found seven regional Fed districts reporting economic activity as growing at a modest or moderate pace, a decline from 11 in the last report, with strong dollar headwinds among one of the more frequently cited reasons for the weakness.