recovery

Goldman Calls It For Oil: "OPEC Freeze Insufficient To Support Prices; The Price Rally Should Stall"

"Supply continues to feature the cross currents of rising low-cost supply, declining high-cost production, and new project ramp up. In fact, marginally more bearish data recently than we had assumed suggests in our view that the recent price rally should stall... While discussions of an OPEC freeze and a weakening dollar have been catalysts for the sharp reversal in oil prices this month, we believe neither will be sufficient to support prices much further"

"This Ain't Rocket Science Folks" - Fundamentals Matter (And Will Always Matter)

We can pretend fundamentals don’t matter and sure in the day to day profit taking of Citadel and the like they really don’t matter. But, while the PhDs may talk big about this new world economy where a move to universal welfare means jobs and wages don’t matter - well that is nonsense. Jobs and wages matter and they will always matter.

Frontrunning: August 22

  • Oil falls as China fuel exports jump, U.S. rigs rise (Reuters)
  • Fischer Signals 2016 Rate Hike With Economy Nearing Fed Goals (BBG)
  • Show of European unity: Merkel, Hollande, Renzi meet to discuss gameplan (Reuters)
  • Rainy Rio wraps up challenging Games on upbeat tropical note (Reuters)
  • Japan's Abe Plays Super Mario in Rio to Promote 2020 Tokyo Games (BBG)
  • Donald Trump the Mortgage Broker Was in Trouble From Moment One (BBG)

Jeffrey Snider: All Signs Point To Systemic Reset

"... what’s happened in stocks is more a myth than actual reality. Investors in stocks are buying at ridiculous valuations based on the premise that the Fed can create a recovery through liquidity. And what 2014 and 2015 show us is that this simply wasn’t true! ...the longer the earnings recession lingers, the higher the risk that stock investors will realize that they’ve been following the wrong story all along!"

Crude Shrugs As US Oil Rig Count Rises For 8th Straight Week

Crude prices had slipped back into the red ahead of Baker Hughes rig count data (after topping $48.50 Sept 16 overnight). For the 8th straight week (and 11 of last 12) the US oil rig count rose (up 10 to 406), tracking the lagged recovery of WTI Crude prices and up 28% from cycle lows.

French Rabbi Stabbed By Muslim Assailant, Screaming "Allah Akbar"

In the latest knife attack in Europe, earlier this morning ago a Jewish man, described as a Rabbi, was stabbed by a Muslim attacker in the French city of Strasbourg, according to local media sources. He is has been taken to hospital and is in a stable condition, while the perpetrator has been arrested and is being questioned by police.

On The Impossibility Of Helicopter Money And Why The Casino Will Crash

Will the boys and girls still in the casino after the current election gong show is over patiently wait for their next fix from a beltway governance process that is in sheer pandemonium and stalemate? We think the odds are between slim and none. As we indicated previously, if Trump is elected the fiscal process will lapse into confrontation and paralysis for an indefinite spell. And if Hillary is elected, the Republican House will become a killing field for almost anything she proposes, and most especially the rank Keynesian apostasy of outright and massive debt monetization...

S&P Futures Unchanged As Europe Rises; Dollar Slide Sends Oil Above $47

In the latest quiet trading session, European shares rose while Asian stocks fell and S&P futures were little changed. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting damped prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike, sending the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index doen 0.3%, approaching a three-month low. Dollar weakness continues to buoy commodities, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index set for the most enduring rally in more than two months, as WTI flirted with $47