recovery

Bill Blain: "My Prediction Is That Around October 12 Markets Will Get Horribly Interesting"

"There are just too many contradictory currents out there. The unsustainability of burgeoning consumer debt, unfeasibly tight credit spreads, the sandcastle foundations of student loans, autos, housing and the CLO market, China, Trump, politics.. worries about what follows Brazil in the EM market, and whatever... The risks of a massive consumer sentiment dump."

What's The Worst That Could Happen?

The last time the stock/bond ratio was this elevated, it didn’t work out well for investors as volatility spiked, equity prices plunged and the “sprint for safety” send bond prices surging.

Fed's Bullard Slams Recovery Narrative, Confirms Fed Top-Ticked Economy; Hints At Fed Policy Error

In a surprisingly candid discussion of the recent economic slowdown, St. Louis Fed president said growth is unlikely “to move meaningfully” this year from the current trend of about 2% and that inflation expectations “have surprised to the downside.” adding that financial market readings since the March decision have been opposite of expectations. "This may suggest that the FOMC’s contemplated policy rate path is overly aggressive relative to actual incoming data."

Global Markets Rebound To End Volatile Week, As Trump Rout Fades

Two days after the biggest rout in US stocks in 8 months, and one day after Brazil's stock market was halted due to a circuit breaker, wiping out out 8.8% of its market cap, traders are eager to put it all in the rearview mirror and in a quiet session on the last day of the week, S&P futures are set for a green open, up 0.2%, in line with Asian and European markets, all looking to close the week on a positive note.

Frontrunning: May 18

  • FBI’s Russia Probe Gains Credibility With Mueller In Charge (BBG)
  • Trump storm hits stocks again but dollar steadies (Reuters)
  • Flynn stopped military plan Turkey opposed – after being paid as its agent (McClatchy)
  • Kremlin declines to comment on probe of Trump ties with Russia (Reuters)
  • Trump To Announce $350bn Saudi Arabia Arms Deal – One Of Largest Ever (Ind)