Global markets and US equity futures fell on Samsung Galaxy Note 7 contagion concern, while the dollar rose to its strongest level in 11 weeks and U.S. bonds declined as investors boosted wagers that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.
Former Obama White House economist Alan Krueger would like for you to know that poor labor participation rates are likely caused by back pain and/or kids staying home to play video games and not Obama's failed policies.
In the US focus will be on the market's reaction to the second presidential debate, FOMC Minutes but also retail sales, import and producer prices and Michigan sentiment. We also hear from various Fed speakers throughout the week, and Chair Yellen gives a keynote speech on Friday.
The gold trading Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released Friday, shows the peculiarly timed gold sell off and much needed wash out of speculative longs out of the gold futures market last week sets gold up for lower prices, prior to moving higher again.
"We are not in a recovery and were not really in a traditional recession. People think of a business cycle as a boom, followed by a recession and then there are automatic stabilizers that revive the economy, but this time, we can't revive. And the reason is that every recovery since 1945 has begun with a higher, and higher, and higher level of debt. And the debt is so high now that since 2008 we've been in what I call, debt deflation."
The end of growth exposes the stupidity and ignorance of all but (and even that’s a maybe) a precious few (of our) ‘leaders’. We are transcending into an entirely different stage of our lives, our economies, our societies. Growth is gone, it went out the window long ago only to be replaced with debt. And that’s going to take a lot of getting used to. But there’s nothing that says we couldn’t see it coming.
While speculation that Qatar investors may come to Deutsche Bank's rescue came and went on Friday, the German lender quietly took advantage of the relentless global appetite for yield and on Friday evening Deutsche Bank issued its first US dollar-denominated bond in five months when its raised $3 billion in five year paper
While Hillary claimed that visiting Louisiana weeks after flooding would have interrupted recovery efforts, she apparently has no problem releasing her legal army on Florida to push for voter registration extensions in the middle of Hurricane Matthew.
In short, the U.S. economy may never reach “escape velocity” unless it is first allowed to crash. It has been too larded up and larded over with debt for any real sustainable growth to take root. More evidence, to this effect, was revealed this week.
While we already noted that the headline quantitative print in jobs, which rose by a seasonally adjusted 156K in September, was far weaker when observed from a quality standpoint, as a result of the surge in part-time jobs, the dip in full-time jobs, and the jump in multiple jobholders to the highest since the financial crisis, another question is which industries were hiring, albeit mostly part-time workers. Here is the answer.