recovery

Have Stocks Reached A 'Permanently Low Plateau' In Volatility?

The stock market is clearly due for at least a small pullback. Of course it’s coming but it doesn’t seem, from all of the statistical data below, to be coming tomorrow. But soon enough the pyrotechnics will be alive, and just when you think they are over, more larger fireworks will explode.

Political Worries Keep Europe On Edge As Earnings Push Stocks Higher; US Futures Unchanged

In a mostly quiet Wednesday session, Asian stocks rose overnight along with European bourses, which were led higher by miners after Rio Tinto posted higher profits for the first time in three years and a bigger-than-expected dividend, while India’s Sensex extended declines after the central bank unexpectedly left rates unchanged. US futures were little changed as oil continued to fall after API reported a huge inventory build

Dear IMF, Please Put Greece Out Of Its Misery

For the umpteenth time, the IMF has warned that Greece cannot meet fiscal targets set by its creditors. And once again, the IMF insists that it will not be a part of the “Troika” unless the goals on Greece are realistic. History suggests the IMF will cave in to Germany and agree to some half-baked plan (make that 1/8th baked plan) that will supposedly put Greece back on track. Such nonsense has been going on for years. Mercy, Please!

S&P Futures, European Stocks Bounce As Dollar Rises Most In Two Weeks; Gold, Yen Slide

The dollar rebounded from a key support level, strengthening against all major peers, pushing S&P futures higher as European shares rose, led by basic resources and real estate, while Asian stocks fall. Gold fell from its highest level since November as demand for some haven assets ebbed while global bonds declined. Oil dipped, pressured by a stronger dollar.

"Everyone Is Going Insane..." - Lost In The Political Wilderness

"Every day, millions of people are being pressured to “pick a side” by media, pundits, politicians - even close friends and family. Critical thinking that doesn’t fit into one of the two polarized camps of pro-Trump or anti-Trump are being dismissed or degraded... the U.S. citizenry is being afflicted by a sort of mass insanity at the moment. There are no good outcomes if this continues. "

After Obama, A New Dawn Or More Of The Same?

Donald Trump will face his moment, like it or not. Barack Obama faced it and decided to kick the can down the road and opt for yet more “stimulus.” How Trump deals with it will determine whether or not the US economy recovers from bad policies, or goes the way of Japan and Europe.

Mario Draghi Hints Trump Will Be Responsible For The Next Financial Crisis

According to Mario Draghi, portfolio manager of the world's biggest hedge fund, it is not his gargantuan balance sheet equal to 36% of the eurozone GDP, nor the $14 trillion in global central bank liquifity that will be responsible for the next market crash, but that Donald Trump's deregulation of the banking industry has "sown the seeds of the next financial crisis."

Gasoline Glut Could Ruin The Oil Price Party

Oil and refined products inventories in the U.S. continue to climb at a worrying pace, raising some red flags for an oil market that was supposed to be on the mend.

"We're Way Past Humpty Dumpty"

The most basic link in finance is that between risk and reward. Just like alchemists who once sought a path to gold from lead, a great deal of modern finance was built around finding a shortcut between them, but now, what is missing is reward, especially under conditions where there are no longer illusions about risk. We are way, way past Humpty Dumpty time. You can bring back prop trading, but you still have to have asymmetry for banks to trade in it. That ship sailed for good in late July 2011.