Governments and central banks would very much like to frighten people away from cash, but that only underlines its value under the current circumstances. Cash is king in a deflation. The powers-that-be know that, and would like the available cash to end up concentrated in their own hands rather than spread out to act as seed capital for a bottom-up recovery. Holding on to cash under one’s own control is still going to be a very important option for maintaining freedom of action in an uncertain future.
Looking for group think, extrapolation of extreme silliness, linear thinking, and belief in absurd models? Then look no further than Fed presidents, their advisors, and academia loaded charlatan professors.
"The time for treating the EUR-peg as a taboo may soon be past us, and an open discussion become the dominant narrative, in pursuit of a long-term durable solution to economic stagnation, in an attempt to save the European Union, so to orderly drive the process as opposed to end up being overwhelmed by the trending course of events."
Realized volatility in the US equity markets has been extremely low, and much discussed, but, as Deutsche Bank's David Bianco warns this is "the quiet before the storm." There are five catalysts for increased vol through Autumn but most worrying is the "High P/E, Low VIX" scenario is very risky having reached "mania" levels.
If you’ve been paying attention, you could see this coming a mile away. Brexit is just the start of a much, much bigger trend..."The backlash we are witnessing represents a worldwide revolt against globalism and the disconnected and hopelessly corrupt status quo."
On a 1-year moving average, nearly 40% of China's "economic growth" is the result of new credit creation, or in other words, new loans. What this really means, is that China's debt/GDP, estimated most recently by the IIF at 300%.
What do you do when you've provided every stimulus possible to drive auto sales ($0 down, 0% APR, 70 month term, no credit, no problem) but growth still slows? Well, you start to play games to manufacture "sales", of course.