• EconMatters
    11/30/2015 - 16:21
    The ISIS group sells most of its crude directly to independent traders at the wellhead for $20-$45 a barrel earning the group an average of $1.5 million a day.


Tyler Durden's picture

Mind The New Lows - Copper, Junk Credit, & More

Once again we feel the close tug of systemic illiquidity as it transcends the usual noise about assurances to ignore or trivialize all this growing uncertainty. Even though stocks and other assets have been trading in their own world mostly free from all this more hidden esoterica, the full weight of this analysis suggests that can’t be more than a temporary deviation. Since it is the angle of economy that is ultimately driving all of this, everything depends upon a global economy that has already been beaten down far past anticipation.

Tyler Durden's picture

Portuguese Government Falls As Socialists, Communists Topple PM

Get ready Angela Merkel, because you're about to face another anti-austerity push, only this time, the country "matters"...

Tyler Durden's picture

Goldman Sees 60% Chance Current "Expansion" Continues Another 4 Years, Becomes Longest Ever

"Using a dataset on developed market business cycles, we calculate that the unconditional odds that a six-year-old expansion will avoid recession for another four years—and mature into a 10-year-old expansion—are about 60%."

Tyler Durden's picture

Global Stocks Fall For 5th Day On Disturbing Chinese Inflation Data; Renewed Rate Hike Fears; Copper At 6 Year Low

The ongoing failure of China to achieve any stabilization in its economy, after already cutting interest rates six times in the past year, and the prospect of a U.S. interest rate hike in December, had made markets increasingly jittery and worried which is not only why the S&P 500 Index had its biggest drop in a month, but thanks to the soaring dollar emerging market stocks are falling for a fourth day - led by China - bringing their decline in that period to almost 4 percent, and the global stock index down for a 5th consecutive day.

Sprott Money's picture

Leaving the Eye of the Hurricane

Those who choose to distance themselves (and their wealth – however large or small) geographically from the centre of the hurricane will fare best.

Tyler Durden's picture

The Recessionary Signals Of A 5% Unemployment Rate

"Historically, the statistical or mathematical properties of the financial markets have shifted as the economic recovery nears full employment (i.e., at about the 5% unemployment rate the contemporary recovery has reached). Traditionally, at this point in the recovery, the stock market suffers more frequent declines, bond yields rise more often, average annualized returns from both asset classes are lower, diversification benefits tend to diminish, and recession risk is enhanced."

Tyler Durden's picture

Demand 'Stimulus' Has Not Worked - It's Time To Tell The Truth About Debt

Repeated dosages of quantitative easing to kick-start economic recovery have proved totally ineffective everywhere. Yet central bankers are talking about doing it again – in larger amounts. The obsession with spending rather than saving has led governments everywhere to suppress interest rates to near zero. Under this destructive economic model governments are the worst offenders. In their craze to spend cheap money they allocate resources blindly into projects of dubious viability, for which there was no public demand in the first place. Result: huge taxpayer-borne losses.

Tyler Durden's picture

Paul Craig Roberts Rages At "Another Phony Jobs Number"

If the US economy were actually in economic recovery, would half of the 25-year-old population be living with parents? The real job situation is so poor that young people are unable to form households.

Tyler Durden's picture

IBM Tumbles To New 5 Year Lows After Buffett Admits Huge Loss

We're gonna need a bigger buyback... As if "old tech" IBM was not in enough trouble, the worrying admission from Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway's earnings of around $2 billion (though careful to note he is not about to sell) has seemingly prompted further weakness. IBM is down almost 2% to fresh May 2010 lows...

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: November 9

  • Global Stocks Slip Lower (WSJ)
  • Dollar sits pretty, bond yields rise as Fed bets firm (Reuters)
  • Takeover Loans Have Few Takers on Wall Street (WSJ)
  • Chinese Buyers Seek Dollar Assets as Promise of Yuan Gains Fades (BBG)
  • Banking Giants Learn Cost of Preventing Another Lehman Moment (BBG)
  • Eurozone Finance Ministers Won’t Release $2.15 billion Loan to Greece (WSJ)
Tyler Durden's picture

Emerging Markets Slide On Strong Dollar; China Surges On Bad Data, IPOs; Futures Falter

Once again, the two major macroeconomic announcements over the weekend came from China, where we first saw an unexpected, if still to be confirmed, increase in FX reserves, and then Chinese trade data once again disappointed tumbling by 6.9% while imports plunged 18.8%. So how did the market react? The Shanghai Composite Index rose for a fourth day and reached its highest since August 20because more bad data means more easing from the PBOC, and just to give what few investors are left the green light to come back into the pool, overnight Chinese brokers soared after Chinese IPOs returned after a 5 month hiatus. Elsewhere, Stocks and currencies in emerging markets slump on prospect of higher U.S. borrowing costs before year-end and after data underscored slowdown in Asia’s biggest economy. Euro strengthens.

Monetary Metals's picture

A 14 Handle on Silver. Again. 8 Nov, 2015

Last week, we asked if silver would have a 14 handle again. This week, the market answered yes we can! How did we know? By looking at supply and demand.

Tyler Durden's picture

CEO Of World's Largest Shipping Company: "Global Growth Is Worse Than Official Reports"

According to the CEO of Maersk, the world's biggest container shipping company, "the world’s economy is growing at a slower pace than the International Monetary Fund and other large forecasters are predicting." Andersen adds that "we believe that global growth is slowing down. Trade is currently significantly weaker than it normally would be under the growth forecasts we see....we’re a little bit more pessimistic than most forecasters."

Tyler Durden's picture

Global Trade, Demand Continues To Dry Up As China's Exports Miss For Fourth Straight Month

China's exports fell for the fourth consecutive month in October as evidence of collapsing global demand and trade continues to pile up. “A lot of Westerners think this helped us out a lot. But the 2% depreciation actually hurt us. It was in every newspaper and customers called us within hours pushing for 6% discount, so we had to give them 4%."

Secular Investor's picture

Why A Rate Hike Might Result In A 'Double Whammy' For Mainstream Investors

The potential outcomes are looking increasingly worrisome for financial markets across the board...

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