While normal poll results have been delayed on Friday as the Brexit campaign takes a day off following Jo Cox's death, moments ago JPM broke the polling embargo and as Reuters reports, JPMorgan said on Friday it saw a lead for the "Out" campaign in Britain's European Union referendum, based on an analysis of opinion polls. "Our attempt to clean up the polls for methodological issues suggests a lead for leave in the 3-5 percent range at the time of writing," researchers said in a note.
In the aftermath of the tragic murder of British Labour MP Jo Cox, the most poignant - and debated - question that has emerged is whether the shooter, 52-year-old white male Thomas Mair, was motivated by political ideology especially since as some eyewitness have claimed he shouted "Britain First" during his deadly attack and is now being probed for "far-right links", or if he was simply mentally ill.
Following the tragic murder of Jo Cox, Brexit campaigning was suspended for a second day on Friday. Events planned by the two main campaign groups were canceled, while publication of opinion polls and an International Monetary Fund report were delayed until the weekend as tributes were paid to Cox. As Reuters adds, the murder "has thrown a June 23 referendum on European Union membership into limbo."
While it may very well not last and all of yesterday's gains could evaporate instantly if the Brexit vote is set to take place as scheduled, all 10 industry groups in the MSCI All-Country World Index advanced, with the index rising 0.7% trimming the week’s drop 1.6%. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 1.4%. Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed, after equities Thursday snapped their longest losing streak since February. . Oil rose, paring its biggest weekly decline in more than two months. Bond yields around the globe fell.
Back in February we noted that there were cracks starting to show in the world of P2P lending, and more specifically, with LendingClub's inability to assess credit risk of its borrowers that were causing the company to experience higher write-off rates than forecast. And now courtesy of Reuters, we learn of a critical blind spot in the world of online lending.
On Tuesday, June 14th, NATO announced that if a NATO member country becomes the victim of a cyber attack by persons in a non-NATO country such as Russia or China, then NATO’s Article V “collective defense” provision requires each NATO member country to join that NATO member country if it decides to strike back against the attacking country. In the context of this announcement that cyberwar is on the same status as physical war, Obama might declare the U.S. to have been invaded by Russia when former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s State Department emails were copied by someone in Russia.
"Yellen sounds like she doesn't have confidence anymore. She is backing away from any forecast. She is simply saying, 'I really don’t want to forecast anymore.' We are done with this forecasting game. The subtext is that 'we've been so wrong forecasting the data, we should stop'."