Reuters

Frontrunning: August 14

  • Korea tensions ease slightly as U.S. officials play down war risks (Reuters)
  • Pence Plays Down Trump Threat on Venezuela (WSJ)
  • Trump Pressed to Reject White Nationalist Groups (WSJ)
  • Charlottesville, and the World, Take Stock of Violent Episode (NYT)
  • Car Attack Suspect Had Shown Troubling Behavior (NYT)

"You Could See Panic": PIMCO Joins Gundlach In Loading Up On S&P Puts

"If we see actual military altercation, markets can go a lot lower. And at the same time, volatility has been so low for so long that it doesn’t take much for markets to get worked up.... you will certainly see panic if all of this turns into a sustained military encounter."

Frontrunning: August 11

  • Trump: military solutions 'locked and loaded' against North Korea threat (Reuters)
  • Any Korean war could quickly escalate (Reuters)
  • Could a North Korean Nuclear Missile Hit the White House? (BBG)
  • Standoff Leaves China With Few Options (WSJ)
  • Trump and Kim's War of Words Has Asia Bracing for Conflict (BBG)

Global Market Rout Spreads: VIX Marches Higher As China Stocks, Currency Plunge

The global rout resulting from tensions over the North Korean nuclear standoff continued on Friday following a third day of escalating verbal exchanges between Trump and Kim, with European and Asian shares tumbling as volatility across the globe spiked, with the selloff in US futures continuing albeit at a more modest pace.

Are Oil Bulls About To Be Burned Again?

"Fundamentals remain shaky this quarter, therefore any rally that occurs before more substantive inventory draws would be short-lived...With speculators having already staked out bullish positions, there is less room to run on the upside."

Trump Provokes China Again, Sends Another Destroyer To South China Sea

A US Navy destroyer sailed within 12 miles of an artificial island built by China in the South China Sea on Thursday, a "provocation" that threatens another angry response from the Chinese government and further complicating President Donald Trump’s efforts to align the Communist Party in his pursuit to find a diplomatic resolution to the North Korean crisis.