Reuters

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Frontrunning: January 26





  • China shares end at 14-month lows after late selling frenzy (Reuters)
  • China Dec gold imports through Hong Kong highest since 2013 (Reuters)
  • China Contagion Fades as European Stocks Pare Drop, Oil Rises (BBG)
  • Apple set for slowest ever iPhone sales growth (Reuters)
  • Saudis, Russia Seen by Iraq as More Flexible on Oil-Output Cuts (BBG)
  • China Probes NEV sector for subsidy fraud (China Daily)
 
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Chinese Rush To Buy Foreign Assets As Mammoth $1 Trillion In Capital Flees Country





When the RMB deval dust settled, some $1 trillion in capital fled China in 2015 as Chinese rushed to move money out of the country ahead of what many expect will be a much larger yuan depreciation. Estimating capital flight out of China isn't an exact science and different analysts look at different proxies to determine just how leaky the ship is, so to speak. For their part, Goldman has endeavored to break down the numbers on the way to shedding some light on where to look to assess the pace of the flows. 

 
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Security Woes Threaten OPEC's Second Largest Producer





Iraq has been one of the key contributors to the uptick in OPEC oil production over the past year and a half. Despite the fact that the country’s crude oil output has continuously been plagued by security concerns and faltering payments to international oil companies from both the Kurdish regional government (KRG) and Baghdad and an ongoing row over oil export rights, it has still managed to ramp up production to record levels. No reason to worry about Iraq’s oil future it seems… or is there?

 
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Spain's Election Quagmire: What Wall Street Thinks





Don't look now, but Brussels’ preferred Spanish PM is about to be ousted by a coalition of leftist parties, and that, in turn, suggests that the idea of fiscal retrenchment will be thrown out, along with anything that even looks like austerity. That could trigger a showdown between Madrid and Brussels over Spain’s intention to adhere to EU deficit targets.

 
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ISIS Releases New Video Featuring Paris Attackers, Group Planning "Large Scale" Assault On Europe





If Russian and Western airstrikes are “degrading and defeating” Islamic State, someone forgot to tell al-Hayat Media Center, the brain trust for a sprawling network of discrete propaganda production units that are spread across nearly a dozen countries.

 
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SandRidge On The Verge Bankruptcy: Would Be 2nd Largest Shale Chapter 11 In Past Year





As we said two days ago when looking at the paltry recoveries on their total debt that bankrupt energy debtors are generating in liquidation and bankruptcy asset sales, "the energy bankruptcy party is only just starting." And sure enough, overnight we learned that another company is preparing to throw in the towel following a Reuters report that SandRidge Energy - a shale oil and gas producer in the Mid-Continent region of the U.S. - is exploring debt restructuring options, "as the heavily indebted U.S. oil and gas exploration and production company struggles with the fallout from plunging energy prices."

 
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Frontrunning: January 25





  • Oil Drops as Saudis to Maintain Spending, China Diesel Use Falls (BBG)
  • Saudi Arabia is able to withstand low prices says Saudi Aramco Chairman (WSJ)
  • Recession Warnings May Not Come to Pass (WSJ)... or they May
  • Stocks moving in tandem are squeezing short sellers (FT)... as first noted here in 2013
  • Problems Found at Theranos Lab (WSJ)
  • New York rebounds after blizzard, Washington shuts down government (Reuters)
  • China business confidence, recruitment hit record lows in January - SMI survey (Reuters)
 
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Oil Slides Dragging Global Stocks, US Futures Lower, After Saudi Aramco Supply Comments





After the biggest two-day surge in oil in seven years, early in the overnight session both Brent and WTI continued their run for a third day, entering a bull market, 20% up from recent lows hit just last week (still 15% down on the year) when Saudi Arabia spoiled the momentum party after  the world’s biggest crude exporter said it’s keeping up investments in energy projects while diesel consumption in China dropped for a fourth consecutive month, signaling an industrial slowdown. And thanks to the near record correlation between equities and oil, global stocks and US equity index futures initially rose only to slide following the Saudi comments.

 
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Here Come The Blackouts: Largest Ever Muni Restructuring Falls Apart As Puerto Rico's Power Authority Balks At $9 Billion Deal





The largest restructuring in muni market history fell apart on Friday when Puerto Rican lawmakers failed to approve a deal to rework some $9 billion in liabilities for the island's beleaguered power utility. "This is incredible. Our power plants look like the cars in Cuba." 

 
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Austria To Refugees: Learn To Speak German Or Get No Money





“Those who are not willing to learn German, who do not want to be part of the labor market, who are not ready to attend an integration course, will face social benefits cuts,."

 
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Iran, Saudi Arabia "Clash" Over Syria At "Secret", Closed-Door Meeting In Davos





"I really like what you say but when I look at what you do, I wonder"...

 
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Moody's Just Put Over Half A Trillion Dollars In Energy Debt On Downgrade Review





Moody's took the global energy sector to the woodshed, placing 175 global oil, gas and mining companies and groups on review for a downgrade due to a prolonged rout in global commodities prices that it says could remain depressed indefinitely. Here are the 69 US, 19 Canadian and 13 European companies (the full list of all global companies can be found here) that just Moody's black list, a grand total of 101 companies which now face a downgrade threat on just about $540 billion in total debt.

 
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Frontrunning: January 22





  • Stocks, oil soar as Draghi the dove tames global bears (Reuters)
  • Massive snowstorm poised to wallop U.S. East Coast (Reuters)
  • Oil Rises in Biggest Rally Since August Amid Volatility Surge (BBG)
  • Nikkei spikes more than 900 points after rebounds overseas (Japan Times)
  • China's Working-Age Population Sees Biggest-Ever Decline  (WSJ)
  • Oil Is `Trade of the Year' for Citigroup After Iran Export Surge (BBG)
  • U.S. Payment of $1.7 Billion to Iran Raises Questions of Ransom (WSJ)
 
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What The Big Banks Say About Their Energy Exposure





One thing is clear: banks are not only not telling the full story, but the story they are telling is compromised. Still one has to start somewhere with whatever data is publicly available, so courtesy of Reuters, here is a summary of what the big U.S. banks who have reported Q4 earnings so far, say about their energy exposure.

 
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