Confused About What Mario Draghi Will Do Next? Here's The Official Decision Tree From His Former EmployerSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/11/2015 13:06 -0500
Now that there are "no taboos," and assuming the ECB doesn't take our advice on the '52 Mantles or the lumber, the only question is whether the central bank will pair a depo rate cut with the PSPP expansion (in whatever form it takes)....
Today’s dilemma – for financial markets and central bankers – is that pushing back against nascent “risk off” unleashes another forceful bout of “risk on.” At this point, it’s either Bubble on or off – destabilizing either way. The global Bubble has grown too distended and the market backdrop too dysfunctional. Central bankers over the past 25 years have created excessive “money,” while incentivizing too much finance into financial speculation. There is now way too much “money” crowded into the securities and derivative markets, and the upshot is an increasingly hostile backdrop for leverage and speculation.
It is important to note that the current weakness of gold is primarily in dollar and sterling terms. For investors in Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the EU gold is once again acting as a hedge.
With winter looming, some European states are warning that a humanitarian crisis may be right around the corner as the proliferation of anti-migrant fences and border controls has slowed refugees on their trek to Germany. Now, hundreds of thousands could end up stranded. Fearing a "catastrophe" on its soil, Slovenia has now built its own razor wire border barrier, a move Croatia calls "a waste of time."
It's not HFTs; It's not global orchestrated central bank intervention in "markets"; it is not even confirmed manipulation of virtually every asset class by the Too Big To Prosecute banks, who instead of doing research spent time colluding in anonymous chat rooms how to manipulate everything from FX, to Treasurys, to gold. No: according to the SEC what is truly broken with the markets, and why two-thirds of Millennials have lost faith in stocks, are short sellers "manipulating" stock prices on twitter.
After a disappointingly un-uber-dovish speech this morning by Draghi,it appears The ECB needed to full ease-tard to make sure 'markets' believe. EURUSD tumbld 50 pips - to the lows of the day - after Reuters reports that, in what is becoming increasingly clear desperation, The ECB is mulling buying the debt of cities and regions.
More Missouri Drama: Campus Police Arrest Suspect For Threatening To "Shoot Every Black Person I See"Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/11/2015 10:13 -0500
A suspect was in custody this morning for making online threats to shoot black students at the University of Missouri following the racial protests that prompted the school's president and chancellor to step down this week, campus police said. The announcement followed a post on the social media app Yik Yak on Tuesday, tagged for the college town Columbia. The posting read: "I'm going to stand my ground tomorrow and shoot every black person I see."
Well that didn't last long. After diappointing data from Japan (very weak Reuters Tankan), and China overnight confirming the weekend's dire trade data (and crushing the soft survey-based idiocy of the PMIs), global equity markets ramped abruptly because "bad news is good news" still in China - meaning moar stimulus is due. However, Draghi's lack of exuberance this morning, and the reality of Macy's outlook reflection on the US consumer have dragged all the overnight gains back into the red...
In what sounds like the plot of a McCarthy-era propaganda spy novel, the Socialists and Communists have overthrown the government in Portugal. That means it's time for the troika to start pushing back against the undesirables by threatening the country with financial ruin. Just call it "tough love."
- GOP debate winners and losers (Hill)
- European Stocks Rise as Dollar Weakens; Metals Decline on China (BBG)
- Global shares shrug off mixed China data, copper teeters near six-year low (Reuters)
- Fed's Evans: Looking forward to time when Fed can raise rates (Reuters)
- Alibaba’s Global Ambitions Face Counterfeit Challenge (WSJ)
- China Rebalancing Takes Hold as Output Slows, Retail Jumps (BBG)
First the good news: with a cold winter about to slam Europe where thousand of refugees make their way north every day, and where many of these migrants have been scrambling to find any form of lodging ahead of the first snow, Finland has decided to generously provide much needed housing facilities.
The bad news: said facilities are empty shipping containers and tents. Neither has heating.
One of America’s Largest Online Retailers Is Stockpiling Gold and Silver Coins to Pay Employees In Coming CrisisSubmitted by GoldCore on 11/10/2015 10:35 -0500
Prudent companies internationally are allocating capital to gold and silver bullion as a way to diversify their assets and as a form of financial insurance to protect against bank bail-ins, capital controls, currency debasement and other risks posed by another financial crisis.
- Bonds Rise as China Drags Down Metals, Selloff in Stocks Resumes (BBG)
- European Stock Rally Runs Out of Steam Amid China Growth Concern (BBG)
- Obama's immigration action blocked again; Supreme Court only option left (Reuters)
- Ukraine: Cyberwar’s Hottest Front (WSJ)
- With $170.4 Million Sale at Auction, Modigliani Work Joins Rarefied Nine-Figure Club (NYT)
- IEA Sees OPEC Market Share Growth in 2020 as Rivals Stagnate (BBG)
Global Stocks Fall For 5th Day On Disturbing Chinese Inflation Data; Renewed Rate Hike Fears; Copper At 6 Year LowSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/10/2015 06:58 -0500
The ongoing failure of China to achieve any stabilization in its economy, after already cutting interest rates six times in the past year, and the prospect of a U.S. interest rate hike in December, had made markets increasingly jittery and worried which is not only why the S&P 500 Index had its biggest drop in a month, but thanks to the soaring dollar emerging market stocks are falling for a fourth day - led by China - bringing their decline in that period to almost 4 percent, and the global stock index down for a 5th consecutive day.
Venezuela Default Countdown Begins: After Selling Billions In Gold, Caracas Raids $467 Million In IMF ReservesSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/09/2015 18:43 -0500
While ridiculous, Venezuela's decision to liquidate some of its gold is perhaps understandable under the circumstances: Venezulea relies on crude oil for 95% of its export revenue, and with prices refusing to rebound, the only question is when do all those CDS which price in a Venezuela default finally get paid. What is even more understandable is what Venezuela should have done in the first place before dumping a fifth of its gold, but got to do eventually, namely raiding all of the IMF capital held under its name in a special SDR reserve account.