Reuters

Silver Breaches Key Resistance, Soars To 21-Month Highs Against Gold

Silver is up over 11% in the last 6 days (the most since Aug 2013) since Britons decided to leave the sinking ship, pushing the white metal above the key $19.50 level - back to its highest since September 2014. Gold has been in great demand also, heading for its 5th straight weekly gain after its best start to a year since 1980 as one analyst noted "gold will remain one of the major beneficiaries in the current backdrop, as heightened volatility and lingering uncertainty will keep investors' risk appetite in check." Silver's recent surge has seen it play catch up to gold, now back at its 'richest' to gold since September 2014.

Austrian Court Orders Rerun Of Presidential Election After Finding "Widespread" Voting Fraud

Austria’s Constitutional Court ordered a rerun of the runoff round of country’s presidential election, giving Freedom Party candidate Norbert Hofer a second chance of becoming the first right-wing populist head of state in postwar Western Europe. The court found law violations in “many districts” in how the May 22 second-round vote was carried out.

Puerto Rico Defaults On $2 Billion In Debt Payments

As expected, Puerto Rico will default on about $2 billion in debt payments Friday, including $780 million in constitutionally-backed general obligation bonds, as governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla has issued an executive order authorizing the suspension of payments. In addition, Garcia Padilla also declared states of emergency at the island's biggest public pension - the Commonwealth's Employee Retirement System - which is more than 99% underfunded.

Frontrunning: July 1

  • Bond yields sink as central banks head for easier policy (Reuters)
  • PM hopeful Gove says UK leader must believe in Brexit (AP)
  • U.K. Can’t Bank on EU’s Rationality in Talks (WSJ)
  • Gove Makes Case for U.K. Premiership After Johnson Betrayal (BBG)
  • ECB not debating abandoning capital key in QE buys (Reuters)

Futures Stumble As Global Bond Yields Drop To All Time Lows, Precious Metals Spike

Whether it is due to the conclusion of quarter-end window dressing, or due to a more poor manufacturing data out of China overnight, but the new quarter is starting off poorly for risk with Europe flat and US equities lower, while the scramble for safety means that bond yields across the developed world just hit new all time lows as precious metals are surging once again on ongoing speculation central banks will do anything to keep markets propped up and buy up even more assets.

US Treasury Yields Hit New Record Lows

Finally. With bond yields across the rest of the developed world already making new record lows every day, only the US had so far refused to take out all time lows set back in 2012. That finally changed overnight when the 10Y Treasury dropped -9 bps to 1.3784%, while the 30Y declined by the same amount, sliding as low as to 2.1914%.

Italy Granted "Extraordinary " €150BN Bank Bailout Program To Prevent "Panic, Run On Deposits"

The European Commission has authorized Italy to use government guarantees to create a precautionary liquidity support program for their banks, a spokeswoman for the European Union’s executive arm said, adding that the program was approved under the bloc’s "extraordinary crisis rules for state aid." Prime Minister Matteo Renzi hoped to use a liquidity backstop to contain investor panic, which could result in a run on deposit and affect banks’ liquidity.

What Is Driving Today's Market Surge: JPM Explains

The simple - and only - answer, is of course central banks. But for those who need a more "nuanced" answer to present to their portfolio managers who are watching this market move in stunned silence, here is JPM's Adam Crisafulli with the full breakdown of today's latest 1% move higher.

Frontrunning: June 30

  • Brexiters at war as Johnson pulls bid to be PM (FT)
  • Soros Says Brexit Has ‘Unleashed’ a Financial-Markets Crisis (BBG)
  • World stocks poised for worst month since January (Reuters)
  • China to tolerate weaker yuan, wary of trade partners' reaction (Reuters)
  • China central bank criticizes media for publishing 'inaccurate information' on yuan rate (Reuters)

Yuan Tumbles, Stabilizes After Reuters Report China Willing To Weaken Currency To 6.80

The biggest macro event overnight was a report out of Reuters that China's central bank is willing to let the yuan fall to 6.8 per dollar in 2016 to support the economy, which would mean the currency matching last year's record decline of 4.5 percent. The report promptly sent the offshore yuan tumbling, sliding much as 0.72% to 6.7021 per dollar, the lowest since January 11, however it promptly recovered losses following significant PBOC intervention in the open market.

Day 3 Of Global Post-Brexit Rally: European Stocks, US Futures At Session Highs

Day three of the post-Brexit rally continues, and after some initial weakness due to concerns about Chinese currency devaluation, both European stock and US equity futures were trading at session highs, facilitated by yesterday's stress test results which saw dozens of US banks unleash a tsunami of stock buyback announcement which in turn pushed S&P futures to new post-Brexit highs.